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Winnipeg Jets vs New York Islanders Pick - 3/4/2025

Winnipeg Jets vs New York Islanders Prediction – 10/13/2025

Updated October 13, 2025 • 3 min read

The Winnipeg Jets will travel east to take on the New York Islanders on Monday afternoon. The Jets have split their first two games of the season, while the Islanders are still seeking answers after two straight losses to begin their campaign. Here, I break down this matchup from Long Island and bring you my Jets vs Islanders prediction for Monday’s matchup.

Our Jets vs Islanders Pick

  • Pick: Winnipeg Jets to win
  • Confidence: 3 of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Winnipeg Jets vs New York Islanders
  • Date & Time: Monday, October 13, 2025, 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena, Elmont, NY
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

Recent form

The Jets are 1–1 to open the season, bouncing back from a loss to Dallas by beating the Kings 3–2. Mark Scheifele scored twice and Connor Hellebuyck turned aside 30 shots in Winnipeg’s first win of the season. The Jets’ defense bounced back nicely from their struggles in their season opener and they will try to build on that in this contest.

The Islanders are 0–2 to start the year. Their most recent outing was a 4–2 home loss to Washington, in which top draft pick Matthew Schaefer scored his first NHL goal. Isles goaltender Ilya Sorokin allowed four goals on 29 shots in that contest. Turnovers and a shaky defense were costly and the Islanders need to get better in those areas to avoid a third straight loss.

Goaltending

Connor Hellebuyck is likely to get the nod in goal for Winnipeg. His save percentage sits at .899 in early play, and while his GAA is a bit bloated early, he’s an elite netminder who the Jets will lean on to contend for a title this year.

Ilya Sorokin will be under the microscope for the Islanders. He’s struggled to this point, allowing 4.21 goals on average in those first two starts, with a .860 save percentage. The Jets’ forwards will test Sorokin throughout this contest.

Key skaters

Winnipeg:

  • Mark Scheifele has already contributed two goals and three assists.
  • Kyle Connor leads the Jets with three goals early on and has recorded 10 shots through two games for Winnipeg.

New York Islanders:

  • Bo Horvat will be leaned on for steady two-way production as the Islanders try to end their early-season losing streak.
  • Kyle Palmeiri leads the Islanders with three points early in the year and he will try to make an impact again in this matchup.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Mark ScheifeleOver 1.5 points
Kyle ConnorOver 0.5 goals
Bo HorvatOver 0.5 assists
Matthew SchaeferOver 0.5 points

Betting Trends

  • The Jets are 1-1 on the puckline so far this season.
  • Winnipeg has split its first two games of the season on the over/under market.
  • The Islanders are 0-2 on the puckline on the year.
  • New York has gone over the total in each of its first two games.
  • The Islanders have given up four goals in each of their first two games.

Jets vs Islanders Model Projection

Score Projection: Winnipeg 4 – Islanders 2
Win Probability: Jets 58%, Islanders 42%

Final Thoughts

We should see the Winnipeg Jets get their second win in a row by defeating the Islanders in this contest. The Isles have struggled defensively, while the Jets are known for clamping down on defense over the last few years. That should mean more scoring chances early on for the Jets, allowing them to create separation in this contest.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: New York Islanders, Winnipeg Jets
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