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Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Pick - 4/17/2025

Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction – 10/13/2025

Updated October 13, 2025 • 3 min read

The Detroit Red Wings will visit the Toronto Maple Leafs on Monday afternoon at Scotiabank Arena. Both of these teams have split their first two games and will try to get a win to move above the .500 mark early in the season. Detroit beat Toronto in their first meeting of the season and will look for a repeat performance here. Before the action begins from Toronto, continue reading to get my Red Wings vs Maple Leafs prediction.

Our Detroit vs Toronto Pick

  • Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5
  • Confidence: 3/5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Detroit Red Wings vs Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Date & Time: Monday, October 13, 2025, 2:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

Recent form

Detroit bounced back from a rough opener against Montreal by handling Toronto convincingly on Saturday. That was the Red Wings’ first win of the season and it was a very promising sign for the Wings’ attack. Detroit will try to prove it can do something similar on the road in this contest.

Toronto will be coming in with some urgency. They opened with a win over Montreal but failed to sustain that momentum in Detroit. Toronto coach Craig Berube lamented that the Leafs beat themselves in that game, citing a weak second period. The Leafs must be sharper to avoid a second straight loss to the Red Wings.

Goaltending

Goaltending is a key question going into this game. Detroit’s summer addition, John Gibson, struggled in his debut and was pulled after allowing five goals on 13 shots. Cam Talbot got the nod Saturday, stopping 20 of 23 shots and earning an assist on Edvinsson’s empty-netter. Detroit may roll with Talbot again, given his more consistent early work.

The Leafs have Anthony Stolarz between the pipes. After allowing three goals in Detroit, his record is 1–1–0 with a GAA of 3.05 and save percentage of .906. Toronto’s goaltending remains a work in progress and Stolarz will try to impress in this early-season rematch.

Key skaters

Detroit has leaned on a few standout names early. Patrick Kane leads the team with one goal and three assists for a total of four points. Lucas Raymond scored twice Saturday, including his 100th NHL career goal. Alex DeBrincat contributed three assists. All of those players will need to have good games to keep the Wings in this contest.

Toronto has Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Morgan Rielly as its backbone. Along with that veteran talent, 20-year-old Easton Cowan is expected to make his NHL debut on Monday, slotted on the top line with Matthews and Knies. That infusion of youth and energy could wake up Toronto’s attack.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Patrick Kane (DET)Over 0.5 assists
Lucas Raymond (DET)Over 0.5 goals
Auston Matthews (TOR)Over 1.5 points
William Nylander (TOR)Over 1.5 points

Betting Trends & H2H

  • The Maple Leafs are 1-1 on the puckline going into this game.
  • Both Maple Leafs games this season have gone over their totals.
  • Detroit is also 1-1 on the puckline early in the season.
  • The Red Wings have split their first two games in the over/under market.

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs Model Projection

Score Projection: Toronto 5 – Detroit 3

Win Probability: Toronto 65% / Detroit 35%

Final Thoughts

The Red Wings took care of business against the Maple Leafs in Detroit in the last game for both of these teams. But the Leafs should benefit from playing on home ice this time around. I recommend going with the Leafs to win and cover the puckline at home, as their attack should get back up and running after struggling in Detroit a couple of days ago.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Detroit Red Wings, Toronto Maple Leafs
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