The Utah Mammoth and Toronto Maple Leafs will meet in a very interesting NHL matchup on Wednesday night. Both of these teams are above .500 on the season and will look to continue their strong starts at the expense of one another. Before this game begins in Toronto, you can find my Mammoth vs Maple Leafs prediction below, along with my keys to this matchup.
Our Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Pick
- Pick: Maple Leafs -1.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Utah Mammoth vs Toronto Maple Leafs
- Date & Time: Wednesday, November 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
Recent form
The Mammoth are 9–4–0 this season and averaging roughly 3.38 goals per game while allowing just 2.69 per game. They got a 2-1 overtime win over the Buffalo Sabres on Tuesday night and will try to deliver on the second night of a back-to-back here. The Maple Leafs are 7–5–1 and have won two games in a row. They most recently overcame a 3-0 deficit with a four-goal third period to beat the Pittsburgh Penguins.
Goaltending
The primary crease occupant for Toronto has been Anthony Stolarz. He has a 3.12 GAA and a .896 save percentage. Toronto has allowed 3.62 goals per game as a team and Stolarz’s struggles have been a big part of that. We could see Vitek Vanecek in goal for Utah tonight after Karel Vejmelka played last night in Buffalo.
Key skaters
Utah center Nick Schmaltz leads the team with 8 goals and 10 assists for a total of 18 points. Logan Cooley has 8 goals in his first 11 games and recently signed a long-term extension for the Mammoth. Toronto winger William Nylander returned from injury and notched two goals and an assist in the comeback win against Pittsburgh and will be important in this game as well.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Nick Schmaltz (UTA) | Over 0.5 Goals |
| Auston Matthews (TOR) | Over 0.5 Goals |
| William Nylander (TOR) | Over 1.5 Points |
Betting Trends & H2H
- This is the first of two regular-season games scheduled between these teams this season.
- Utah is 7-6 on the puckline this season.
- Toronto is 3-10 on the puckline going into this game.
- Utah has gone under the total in eight of its first 13 games.
- Toronto has gone 11-2 to the over through 13 games.
Mammoth vs Maple Leafs Model Projection
Score Projection: Toronto Maple Leafs 5 – Utah Mammoth 3
Win Probability: Toronto Maple Leafs 63% / Utah Mammoth 37%
Final Thoughts
I am going to take the Maple Leafs to win and cover the puckline at home in this contest. Under equal rest, this game would be more evenly matched. But with the Mammoth playing on the second leg of a road back-to-back, I expect some struggles defensively from Utah compared to their normal standards. Look for the Leafs to win a high-scoring game at home here.
