With Premier League action continuing onto the final weekend of February, this Saturday’s fixture between Newcastle United and Everton at St. James’ Park is an interesting one in the middle of the table. Newcastle arrive buoyed by recent returns to their lineup, while Everton are looking to bounce back from back-to-back league defeats. Here, I analyze this matchup in England’s top flight and make my Newcastle vs Everton prediction in the betting markets.
Our Newcastle vs Everton Pick
Pick: Newcastle to Win
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Newcastle vs Everton Match Preview
Newcastle have endured a disappointing Premier League campaign, currently placed 11th and having lost four of their last five league games. Their goal output has been decent, including in a convincing 4-1 away win over Everton in their most recent head-to-head matchup. However, defensive frailties have emerged at times this season as they enter this game having failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 straight outings.
Fixture congestion has certainly played a role in Newcastle’s struggles in the league. They breezed into the last 16 of the Champions League by hanging nine goals on Qarabag over two legs in the playoff round, and they made a deep run in the League Cup before being cut down by Manchester City. But their schedule isn’t getting much lighter just yet and the Magpies will need to find a way to limit their opponents on the scoresheet to climb the table.
Everton sit a few spots above Newcastle in the standings but have lost their last two Premier League games, most recently going down 1-0 to Manchester United following a defensive display that was heavily scrutinized. Everton looks safe in terms of staying in the Premier League for another year, which is no small feat given their flirtations with relegation in recent seasons. Now the question is whether they can find a higher gear in the final 11 games of the season to stay in the top half of the Prem.
Betting Insights
- Newcastle defeated Everton 4-1 in their first meeting of the season at Hill Dickinson.
- Both teams have scored in nine straight games involving Newcastle in all competitions.
- Everton has two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five league games against Newcastle.
- Newcastle has played eight straight games that have gone over 2.5 goals across all competitions. Over 2.5 goals is priced at -140 going into this match.
Newcastle vs Everton Prediction
Betting the over and for both teams to score in Newcastle matches has been a profitable angle over the last couple of months, whether it be in the Premier League, Champions League, or domestic cup play. I’m going to go a different direction here and just bet on Newcastle to get the win here, as their attack tore through the Everton defense in their first meeting this season and we should see a similar result at St. James’ Park on Saturday.
Newcastle vs Everton Model Projection
Score Projection: Newcastle 2 – Everton 1
Win Probability: Newcastle 53%, Everton 23%
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