Sunday’s NBA showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and Indiana Pacers features two teams that were a lot more competitive a season ago. The Mavericks, reeling from a 10-game losing streak, travel to Gainbridge Fieldhouse to face the Pacers, who have lost two games in a row themselves. The Mavericks head into this game as slight favorites on the road in a game that somebody has to win. Before tip-off from Indy, continue reading to find my Mavericks vs Pacers prediction.
Our Mavericks vs Pacers Pick
Pick:
Confidence: 1 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Dallas Mavericks @ Indiana Pacers
- Date & Time: Sunday, February 22, 2026, 5:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
The Mavericks’ current slide has been well-publicized as they enter this contest losers of 10 consecutive games. Dallas has been hampered by significant injuries to key contributors, including the absence of top rookie Cooper Flagg and perennial All-Star Kyrie Irving for the season.
Meanwhile, the Pacers are coming off back-to-back losses and have dealt with a rash of injuries, including the continued absence of Tyrese Haliburton and others missing time due to various issues. Indiana’s rotation has been forced to adapt, giving opportunities to younger and lesser-known players who have shown flashes of brilliance but lack consistency.
Key Players
Indiana Pacers
- Pascal Siakam – Averaging around 23.7 points and 6.7 rebounds per game this season, Siakam is Indiana’s leading scorer and a constant offensive threat. His ability to score in isolation and contribute on the boards is crucial for the Pacers’ chances. He’s questionable for this game.
- Andrew Nembhard – As the primary playmaker, Nembhard’s ability to distribute and create shots for his teammates (averaging over 7 assists per game) keeps the Pacers competitive even when missing other key pieces. He is also questionable to compete here.
- Jay Huff – Providing shooting and rim protection, Huff’s presence offers spacing and size that the Pacers need to stay in games.
Dallas Mavericks
- Cooper Flagg – Prior to injury, Flagg was Dallas’ top scoring option at around 20.4 points per game. His absence due to a foot injury is a major blow to the Mavericks’ offensive output.
- Naji Marshall – Averaging double figures and providing solid production across points, rebounds, and playmaking, Marshall is essential to Dallas maintaining offensive balance for Dallas.
- P.J. Washington – A consistent rebounder and scorer, Washington’s inside presence gives Dallas much-needed muscle and floor spacing.
Stat Comparison
| Statistic | Dallas Mavericks | Indiana Pacers |
|---|---|---|
| Points per Game | 113.9 | 111.2 |
| Points Allowed per Game | 117.5 | 118.7 |
| Team Field Goal % | 47% | 45% |
| Rebounds Per Game | 44.7 | 42.7 |
| Assists Per Game | 25.0 | 26.1 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
In their only earlier meeting this season, the Mavericks edged the Pacers by two points in late October. Against the spread this season, Dallas has struggled at 24-31 this season, while Indiana is 28-29 against the spread going into this matchup.
Mavericks vs Pacers Model Projection
Score Projection:
Win Probability:
Final Thoughts
