The Toronto Raptors head into their Sunday afternoon matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks with momentum after a solid win over the Chicago Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bucks come off a big offensive outing in New Orleans, riding a three-game win streak into this Eastern Conference showdown. With Milwaukee still without star forward Giannis Antetokounmpo and Toronto sporting what appears to be a fully healthy rotation, oddsmakers have made the Raptors the favorite in this game. Here, I have broken down this game and you will find my Raptors vs Bucks prediction right here.
Our Raptors vs Bucks Pick
Pick:
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Milwaukee Bucks
- Date & Time: Sunday, Feb 22, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- The Raptors come in off a strong performance from Brandon Ingram, who scored 31 points in their most recent win. They are 33-23 on the season and fifth in the Eastern Conference.
- The Bucks have won six of their last seven games and continue to shoot at a high level, but are playing without Giannis Antetokounmpo due to a calf injury that has kept him out for over a month.
- Toronto is favored in this one, with the latest spread at Raptors -3.5 and a point total around 222.5.
Key Players
Milwaukee Bucks
- Ryan Rollins: Leading the Bucks with around 17.1 points per game while adding 5.5 assists and 1.5 steals, Rollins has been a catalyst for Milwaukee’s offense during their recent surge. His ability to create offense and knock down perimeter shots makes him essential, given the absence of Giannis.
- Kevin Porter Jr.: Porter has also been scoring in the 20s over the past few games, adding playmaking and secondary scoring to ease the loss of Milwaukee’s top star. He’s a player capable of changing the flow of the game when hot.
- Cam Thomas: Thomas has provided instant offense since joining the Bucks, including multiple 20+ point outings. His bench scoring is critical for Milwaukee’s rotation.
Toronto Raptors
- Brandon Ingram: Ingram is Toronto’s leading scorer at around 22 points per game, and he delivered 31 points in the Raptors’ last outing. His scoring and all-around contributions make him a key reason Toronto’s offense functions so effectively.
- Immanuel Quickley: Quickley’s recent shooting has been strong, averaging around 17.2 points and 5.0 rebounds, providing the Raptors with a steady scoring source beside Ingram.
- Scottie Barnes: Barnes contributes across the stat sheet with points, rebounds, and assists, bringing defensive versatility and playmaking that keep Toronto competitive on both ends of the floor.
Stat Comparison
| Stat | Toronto Raptors | Milwaukee Bucks |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 113.7 | 112.3 |
| Points allowed per game | 112.1 | 115.2 |
| Team Field Goal % | 47% | 48% |
| Rebounds per game | 43.0 | 41.1 |
| Assists per game | 29.2 | 26.1 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Toronto leads the season series 2-1, with the last meeting ending in a 111-105 Raptors win at Milwaukee.
- Toronto is 28-28 against the spread this season.
- Milwaukee is 25-29 against the spread this year.
Raptors vs Bucks Model Projection
Score Projection:
Win Probability:
Final Thoughts
