Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Prediction – 10/11/2025

Deiveson Figueiredo and Montel Jackson will fight in the UFC’s bantamweight division on Saturday night in Rio. Both of these fighters come into this matchup ranked in the top 15 in this division and will try to get a statement win here. Before these bantamweights throw down on the octagon, continue reading to get my Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson prediction.

Our Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Pick

• Pick: Montel Jackson by TKO in Round 2
• Confidence: ★★★★☆

Tale of the Tape

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Preview

Deiveson Figueiredo enters this bout with a wealth of experience. He’s held the UFC Flyweight Championship and has gone up against top-tier competition in UFC. But recent losses to Petr Yan and Cory Sandhagen have raised questions about whether his best days are behind him. At 37, Figueiredo may be experiencing a decline in reflexes and stamina, which could be exploited by a younger opponent like Jackson.

Montel Jackson is in the prime of his career at 33 years old. He possesses a significant height and reach advantage over Figueiredo. Jackson averages more significant strikes landed per minute and more takedowns than Figueiredo. He has won six straight fights and has not taken a loss in just over five years going into this co-main event matchup.

Betting Insights

• Moneyline Odds: Montel Jackson is favored at -325, while Deiveson Figueiredo is the underdog at +260.
• Over/Under: The over/under for this fight has been set at 2.5 rounds. The over is heavily favored at -188, while the under stands at +145.
• Figueiredo has lost two straight fights and is 4-4 over his last eight bouts dating back to 2021.
• Three of Jackson’s six straight wins have come by knockout and the other three came by decision.

Deiveson Figueiredo vs Montel Jackson Prediction

Montel Jackson’s size, speed, and knockout power will present a massive challenge for Figueiredo. While Figueiredo’s experience and aggression are assets, they may not be sufficient to overcome Jackson’s physical advantages at this stage of Figueiredo’s career. Even with Figueiredo fighting on home soil, I expect him to struggle with everything that Jackson brings to the table.

My best bet for this fight is for Jackson to win by knockout. He should make a statement by going into a hostile environment and winning emphatically. Expect Jackson to be ranked higher than 15th in the bantamweight division by the time this fight is over.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.