The Ottawa Redblacks (4–11) will travel to face the Montreal Alouettes (8–7) in Week 19 of the 2025 CFL season on Monday. Ottawa has already been eliminated from playoff contention and Montreal has already clinched a playoff spot. The Als will aim to build momentum down the stretch before the playoffs, while the Redblacks are trying to simply play out the string. Here, I break down this CFL Week 19 matchup and you can find my Redblacks vs Alouettes prediction below.
Our Redblacks vs Alouettes Pick
- Pick: Montreal Alouettes –13.5
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes
- Date & Time: Monday, October 13, 2025, 1:00 p.m. ET
- Venue: Percival Molson Stadium, Montreal, QC
- Broadcast: TSN / RDS (Canada), CBS Sports Network (US), CFL+ (international)
Redblacks vs Alouettes Odds
| Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| MTL –13.5 | MTL -800 / OTT +550 | 51.5 |
Key Storylines
- Montreal looking for momentum: The Alouettes are fresh off a bye week. They have locked up a spot in the postseason already. But they still have an incentive to win, both for playoff seeding and confidence. Their defense is among the stingiest in the CFL, conceding 24.9 PPG going into this week.
- Ottawa turning the page at quarterback: Ottawa has shut down Dru Brown for the rest of the season. Dustin Crum will get the start here. Crum has shown flashes at times over the last couple of years. In five starts this year, he threw 1,609 yards, six touchdowns, and two interceptions. He will try to provide a spark for his team here.
- Motivation gap: Montreal still has something to play for, while Ottawa’s season is over. That difference may show over the course of four quarters in this game.
Quarterback Play
Montreal will go with Davis Alexander, who returned from a hamstring injury and in his last outing threw for 350 yards and a touchdown. He completed 26 of 36 attempts, with no interceptions in that game, as Montreal defeated Calgary 38–20.
It will be interesting to see how Crum handles this assignment for the Redblacks. He has an opportunity to prove himself in a game like this one, even if it doesn’t mean anything in the CFL postseason race. A big game here could have an impact on Crum’s chances of playing in future seasons.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Montreal is 6-9 against the spread for the season.
- Ottawa is also 6-9 against the spread on the year.
- The Alouettes have gone 6-8-1 on over/unders in 2025.
- Ottawa is 7-8 in the over/under market for the year.
Redblacks vs Alouettes Model Projection
Score Projection: Ottawa 19 – Montreal 34
Win Probability: Ottawa 18%, Montreal 82%
Final Thoughts
Montreal has the advantage in just about every area in this game. They have a huge motivational edge, they are better on defense, and they are still going with their starting quarterback at this point in the season. We should see the Alouettes win this game convincingly at home and I recommend laying the points with Montreal in this East Division matchup.
