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los angeles sparks vs indiana fever prediction and preview

Indiana Fever vs Los Angeles Sparks Prediction: Who Will Get Their First Win Of 2026?

Updated May 13, 2026 • 4 min read

The Indiana Fever head to Los Angeles on Wednesday night looking to bounce back from a high-scoring season-opening loss, while the Sparks try to bounce back from a poor showing in their first game of the 2026 season. This game features star power all over the floor with Caitlin Clark, Aliyah Boston, Kelsey Plum, and Dearica Hamby all expected to play major roles in what could be one of the most entertaining WNBA games on the schedule this week. Continue reading to get my breakdown of Fever vs Sparks, including my prediction in the betting markets.

Fever vs Sparks Pick

  • Pick: Over 183.5
  • Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Indiana Fever @ Los Angeles Sparks
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, May 13, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
  • Broadcast: USA Network

Key Storylines

  • The Indiana Fever is trying to tighten up its defense after allowing 107 points in the opener against Dallas.
  • Caitlin Clark returns healthy this season and remains the engine behind Indiana’s transition offense and perimeter attack. She had 7 assists in Indiana’s opener.
  • Los Angeles added veteran scoring and playmaking around Kelsey Plum, giving the Sparks more offensive balance than last season. But they will likely need more than the 78 points they scored in their opener to win this contest.
  • The Sparks struggled defensively against Las Vegas in their opener and now face another elite offensive backcourt.
  • With both teams giving up over 100 points in their season openers, the question will be who can step up defensively to get into the win column.

Key Players

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Kelsey Plum remains the centerpiece of the Sparks offense after averaging 19.5 points and 5.7 assists last season. Her shot creation and pull-up shooting give Los Angeles a reliable late-clock option. She had 27 points against Las Vegas over the weekend.
  • Nneka Ogwumike had 10 rebounds for the Sparks in her return to the team against the Aces. Ogwumike is a veteran who knows how to avoid foul trouble, which will be important against Boston on the interior for the LA Sparks.
  • Ariel Atkins gives Los Angeles perimeter defense and veteran scoring depth, especially against explosive guards like Clark and Mitchell.

Indiana Fever

  • Caitlin Clark remains one of the league’s most dangerous offensive weapons. Her passing vision stretches defenses and creates open looks all over the floor.
  • Kelsey Mitchell enters this game after dropping 30 points against Dallas. She averaged 20.2 points last season and remains Indiana’s most explosive scorer in isolation situations.
  • Aliyah Boston controls the paint for Indiana after averaging 8.2 rebounds and 3.7 assists last season. Her ability to score inside and facilitate offense gives Indiana balance.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Both teams are 0-1 straight up and against the spread so far this season.
  • This is the first road game of the season for the Fever.
  • The Sparks are 0-1 at home after getting blown out by the Aces in their opener.

Fever vs Sparks Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Indiana Fever 94 – Los Angeles Sparks 91
  • Win Probability: Indiana Fever 58%, Los Angeles Sparks 42%

Both of these teams are dangerous offensively and not great defensively. That should add up to a high-scoring game on both sides here. We may not see both sides break 100 points like we did in Indiana’s first game of the season, but it wouldn’t surprise me either. I’ll take the over in this game, as I expect there to be offensive fireworks throughout.

More WNBA Betting Resources

  • WNBA Betting Picks
  • WNBA Best Bets Today
  • Best WNBA Betting Sites

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: indiana fever, Los Angeles Sparks
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