The Atlanta Dream head to Minneapolis on Saturday night for a tough road test against the Minnesota Lynx at Target Center. The Lynx are dealing with roster turnover and frontcourt injury concerns, while Atlanta enters the game with one of the league’s deepest perimeter groups led by Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray. Can Minnesota overcome that adversity at home? Continue reading to get my Dream vs Lynx prediction in the betting markets.
Our Dream vs Lynx Pick
- Pick: Atlanta Dream -3.5
- Confidence: 5 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Atlanta Dream @ Minnesota Lynx
- Date & Time: Saturday, May 9, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Broadcast: WNBA League Pass
Key Storylines
Atlanta enters this contest with high expectations after building one of the more athletic starting groups in the WNBA. The Dream has multiple players capable of creating offense off the dribble, and that depth becomes valuable against a Minnesota team still adjusting after offseason changes. Atlanta also added Angel Reese in the offseason to offset the loss of Brittney Griner to the Connecticut Sun, as Atlanta’s roster looks promising going into this season.
The Lynx remain dangerous because of their backcourt scoring and home-court advantage, though the absence of Napheesa Collier at the start of the season changes the identity of the team. Minnesota will need efficient shooting from the perimeter to keep Atlanta from controlling the game inside and out in this matchup.
Key Players
Minnesota Lynx
- Courtney Williams — Williams remains the engine of Minnesota’s offense. She averaged 14.8 points and 5.7 assists last season while creating scoring chances in transition and late-clock situations. Her ability to push tempo gives the Lynx a chance to counter Atlanta’s athletic wings.
- Kayla McBride — McBride continues to be one of the league’s most reliable perimeter scorers. She averaged 15.9 points per game last season and shot better than 38% from 3-point range. Minnesota needs her spacing and shot-making to stretch Atlanta’s defense.
- Olivia Miles — The rookie guard enters the season with high expectations after being selected near the top of the draft. Her playmaking and court vision could become a major factor if Minnesota wants easier scoring opportunities against Atlanta’s aggressive defense.
Atlanta Dream
- Rhyne Howard — Howard remains Atlanta’s top offensive weapon after averaging 17.5 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 3.5 assists last season. She can score at all three levels and often takes over games during critical stretches.
- Allisha Gray — Gray provides consistency on both ends of the floor. She averaged 16.4 points per game while shooting efficiently from deep. Her defensive activity also creates transition opportunities for Atlanta.
- Angel Reese — With Brittney Griner gone and Brionna Jones injured to start the season, Reese will be the main attraction around the rim for the Dream and needs to get off to a fast start in her debut with her new team.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta went 2-1 against Minnesota during the regular season in 2025.
- Minnesota was 27-22-1 against the spread last year.
- Atlanta was a WNBA-best 29-17-1 against the spread last season.
Dream vs Lynx Model Projection
- Score Projection: Atlanta Dream 82 – Minnesota Lynx 77
- Win Probability: Atlanta Dream 58%, Minnesota Lynx 42%
Atlanta appears to hold the more complete roster entering this matchup. The Dream have greater scoring depth, stronger interior play, and multiple defenders capable of slowing Minnesota’s perimeter scorers. The Lynx should remain competitive at home because of their experienced guards, but Atlanta’s balance stands out over four quarters with Collier out. I’ll lay the points with Atlanta, who should kick off the Angel Reese era with a road win.
More WNBA Betting Resources
