Liverpool host West Ham at Anfield on 28th February in a Premier League clash. The Reds enter the weekend in stronger form and fighting for European qualification, while West Ham remain locked in a relegation battle despite their own recent uptick in form. Recent results and squad news suggest a gap in quality that bookmakers have already reflected in the odds. With Liverpool improving at home and West Ham missing key players, bettors are eyeing both the match result and goals markets for value.
Our Liverpool vs West Ham Pick
Pick: Liverpool -1 Asian Handicap
Confidence: 4 out of 5
Liverpool vs West Ham Match Preview
Liverpool head into this fixture in solid form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches in all competitions. Their recent league run includes victories over Nottingham Forest, Sunderland, Brighton, and Newcastle, showing greater consistency of late after a campaign marred by an inability to put together a run of good form. While Anfield has not been a fortress this season, the Reds have recorded strong home wins over Brighton and Newcastle in the past month. That home strength is a major factor in this matchup.
West Ham arrive in a good run of form. They have drawn with Bournemouth and Manchester United and beaten Burnley recently, but defensive fragility remains evident. An unfortunate 3-2 defeat at Chelsea on 31st January remains their most recent loss. Away from home, their ability to contain stronger attacks has been limited, and their only away clean sheet in 2026 was against fellow relegation battlers Burnley.
In terms of injury news, The Reds are still without several long-term absentees including Giovanni Leoni, Connor Bradley, and Alexander Isak, yet the core spine of Alisson, Van Dijk, Mac Allister, Szoboszlai, Salah, and Ekitike are all available. Florian Wirtz missed the previous match as a precaution but is expected to return, adding creativity and chance creation.
For The Irons, Lukasz Fabianski remains out, and Freddie Potts is suspended after being sent off against Burton in the FA Cup. Nuno Espirito Santo will hope to have January signing Pablo Felipe available after missing the last three games with a calf issue.
Historically, Liverpool dominate this fixture. They have won 34 of the last 50 meetings and hold a strong home record against West Ham. Earlier this season, Liverpool also won the reverse fixture, reinforcing the matchup trend.
Betting Insights
- Liverpool moneyline around -255 with implied win probability near 68%
- West Ham win priced around +600 indicating low upset expectation
- Draw roughly +400 suggesting moderate stalemate risk
- Over 2.5 goals favored based on scoring trends
- Liverpool favored by 1 goal on handicap markets
Statistically, Liverpool average more than 2 goals per home match this season, while West Ham concede heavily away. Both teams have scored in several West Ham fixtures, which supports goals markets alongside the Liverpool win angle.
Another key betting factor is Liverpool’s front line. Florian Wirtz’s likely return should improve the supply for Hugo Ekitike, who was starved of service against Nottingham Forest last weekend . West Ham’s defense has conceded multiple goals in several away losses, making them vulnerable against elite forwards.
Liverpool vs West Ham Prediction
This matchup sets up strongly for a Liverpool victory. The Reds have looked much stronger of late, with defeat to Manchester City the only blot on their copy book this month. Despite their own improved form, West Ham’s defensive inconsistency could create a difficult environment at Anfield, where Liverpool typically control possession and generate high shot volume.
West Ham can still threaten on transitions through Bowen and Crysencio Summerville, so a clean sheet is not guaranteed. However, Liverpool’s scoring reliability at home suggests they should produce multiple goals. Given the market spread and statistical trends, Liverpool covering a 1-goal handicap offers the best balance of value and probability.
Liverpool vs West Ham Model Projection
Score Projection: Liverpool 3 – West Ham 1
Win Probability: Liverpool 69%, West Ham 14%, Draw 17%
Liverpool’s expected goals profile at home and West Ham’s defensive concession rate point toward a multi-goal Reds win. The model also accounts for Liverpool’s recent form uptick and West Ham’s historical struggles at Anfield, which widen the projected gap. Overall, the data supports Liverpool winning comfortably, with goals at both ends remaining plausible.
