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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth Prediction: Battered Birds in Salt Lake City

Updated March 13, 2026 • 4 min read

The Pittsburgh Penguins arrive at the Delta Center this Saturday night facing a roster crisis that could define their season. While the team currently holds the second spot in the Metropolitan Division, they are walking into a difficult environment in Salt Lake City without their iconic leaders. The Utah Mammoth have quickly established a reputation for playing a heavy and fast game in their inaugural season. For bettors, this contest hinges on whether the depth pieces for Pittsburgh can survive against a healthy and energetic Utah squad that has already shown it can beat the Penguins earlier this year. With the playoffs looming, the stakes for this inter-conference battle are massive, even if the Penguins are fielding a lineup that looks more like a preseason squad than a Stanley Cup contender.

Find more predictions on our NHL page.


Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins @ Utah Mammoth
  • Date & Time: March 14, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center, Salt Lake City, Utah
  • Broadcast: Utah16, SportsNet Pittsburgh
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
Pittsburgh Penguins+1.5 (-210)+120Over 6.5 (-110)
Utah Mammoth-1.5 (+170)-140Under 6.5 (-110)


Key Storylines Pittsburgh vs Utah

The biggest story for this game is the catastrophic list of absences for the Penguins. Captain Sidney Crosby remains out with a Grade 2 MCL sprain suffered during the Olympics in Italy. To make matters worse, his longtime partner Evgeni Malkin is serving the final game of a 5-game suspension for a slashing incident against Buffalo. This means the Penguins are missing 106 combined points of offensive production. The injury report does not stop there. Justin Brazeau is out week-to-week with an upper-body injury, while defenseman Samuel Girard and forward Kevin Hayes are both day-to-day. Filip Hallander is also unavailable as he continues his recovery from a serious blood clot issue earlier in the winter. Without their center spine and key depth, Pittsburgh must rely on Anthony Mantha and Thomas Novak to carry the offensive load.

The Mammoth are in a much better position health-wise and look to capitalize on a reeling opponent. Dylan Guenther has been a scoring machine with 30 goals this season, and his chemistry with Clayton Keller has made Utah one of the most exciting teams in the Central Division. The Mammoth have built a strong identity around their goaltending as well. Karel Vejmelka has been sturdy in net with 30 wins and a 2.69 goals against average. After a disappointing shutout loss recently, the Mammoth are expected to play with high intensity in front of their home crowd to secure a season sweep over the Penguins.


Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Utah won the only previous meeting between these teams this season with a 5-4 overtime victory in December.
  • The Penguins have struggled as road underdogs recently, going 1-4 in their last 5 games away from home.
  • The Mammoth hold a strong 17-8-2 record at the Delta Center this season.
  • Pittsburgh is 35-19 against the spread, but most of those covers came with a healthy roster.
  • The Under has hit in 4 of the last 6 games for Utah when playing at home against Eastern Conference opponents.

Best Player Props to Watch

PlayerProp
Dylan GuentherAnytime Goal Scorer (+145)
Bryan RustOver 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125)
Karel VejmelkaOver 27.5 Saves (-115)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Utah Mammoth Pick & Model Projection

Score Projection: Pittsburgh Penguins 2 – Utah Mammoth 4

Pick: Utah Mammoth Moneyline -140

Confidence: 5 out of 5

Win Probability: Pittsburgh Penguins 34%, Utah Mammoth 66%

The current situation for Pittsburgh is simply too much to overcome. While the Penguins still have talented veterans like Erik Karlsson and Bryan Rust on the ice, the loss of Crosby and Malkin simultaneously guts their power play and their ability to control the puck at even strength. Pittsburgh has relied on their elite centers to mask defensive lapses all year, and without them, the blue line will be under constant pressure. The Mammoth are a disciplined group that excels at forcing turnovers, and they will likely exploit a Pittsburgh roster that is forced to play depth skaters in top-six roles. Utah has the advantage in almost every statistical category for this game, from special teams to goaltending depth.

For bettors, the moneyline at -140 offers great value considering the disparity in available talent. The Penguins may stay competitive for the first 20 minutes due to pure grit, but the speed of Dylan Guenther and the playmaking of Clayton Keller should eventually break the game open. Expect the Mammoth to use their physical style to wear down the shorthanded Penguins as the game progresses. This is a clear spot to back the home team as they push for a higher seed in the Western Conference playoffs.

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Henrik Norman

Sports betting analyst with 9+ years of experience in the iGaming industry. Specializes in hockey (NHL, SHL) and soccer (EPL, Allsvenskan, Champions League). Has analyzed thousands of games and betting markets during his career.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Pittsburgh Penguins, utah mammoth
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