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pittsburgh penguins vs philadelphia flyers prediction and preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction – 12/1/2025

Updated December 1, 2025 • 3 min read

The Pittsburgh Penguins travel to Philadelphia to face the Philadelphia Flyers on Monday night. This is a Metropolitan Division matchup with playoff implications. These teams are in fourth and fifth place in the Metro Division entering this matchup. A win here would be a huge boost for either team in this contest from Philly. Before the game starts, continue reading to get my Penguins vs Flyers prediction.

Our Penguins vs Flyers Pick

Pick: Flyers to win
Confidence: ★★★☆☆

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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers
  • Date & Time: Monday, December 1, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
  • Broadcast: NHL Network

Penguins vs Flyers Odds

MoneylinePucklineTotal
Flyers –142 / Penguins +120Flyers -1.5 (+180), Penguins +1.5 (-218)O/U 5.5 goals

Key Storylines

Recent form

Philadelphia heads into this game riding positive momentum. They are 14‑7‑3 overall and have won their last three games. In division play, they are 5‑0‑1. Their last meeting with Pittsburgh resulted in a 3‑2 shootout win earlier this season. Pittsburgh is 12‑7‑5, with a 4‑1‑3 record in the division. The Pens claimed a gritty 4‑3 overtime victory over Columbus before losing 7-2 on the second leg of a back-to-back on Thursday and Friday.

Goaltending

The Flyers are likely to rely on Dan Vladar in goal. Vladar recently made 29 saves in a win over the Devils and has posted a goals‑against average of 2.43. Goaltending has been a key reason Philadelphia ranks among the better defensive squads this season. The Penguins are expected to go with Arturs Silovs. Siloves recently allowed four goals on just 10 shots in Toronto. Backup Tristan Jarry remains available should Silovs struggle again. Goaltending could shape the outcome of this contest.

Key skaters

Offensively, Pittsburgh leans heavily on Sidney Crosby, who leads the team with 16 goals and 11 assists. Evgeni Malkin has also been crucial, with a team-high 18 assists. Philadelphia’s Trevor Zegras is the engine for his team up front. He leads the Flyers with 9 goals and 15 assists (24 points), and has been a catalyst in their recent wins.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Sidney CrosbyOver 0.5 Goals
Trevor ZegrasOver 0.5 Points
Evgeni MalkinOver 0.5 Assists

Betting Trends & H2H

  • The Flyers are 1-0 against the Penguins this year, winning 3-2 in a shootout in late October.
  • Philadelphia is 15-9 on the puckline so far this season.
  • The Flyers have gone over the total in 13 of their first 24 games.
  • Pittsburgh is 17-7 on the puckline going into this matchup.
  • The under is 13-11 in the first 24 games for the Penguins on the year.

Penguins vs Flyers Model Projection

Score Projection: Flyers 4 – Penguins 3
Win Probability: Flyers 54%, Penguins 46%

Final Thoughts

Philadelphia enters this game as the more stable, defensively disciplined team playing at home. The Penguins have firepower in the form of Crosby and Malkin, but I don’t think that’s going to be enough for the Pens to defeat their in-state rivals here. I’m going to take the Flyers to win at home on Monday night.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Philadelphia Flyers, Pittsburgh Penguins
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