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pittsburgh penguins vs los angeles kings prediction and preview

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings Prediction – 10/16/2025

Updated October 16, 2025 • 3 min read

The Pittsburgh Penguins will look to rebound from back-to-back losses as they face the Los Angeles Kings on Thursday night at Crypto.com Arena. Both teams enter this matchup with two wins and two losses and will be looking to get above the .500 mark for the year with a win tonight. Before this contest begins in Los Angeles, continue reading to get my Penguins vs Kings prediction.

Our Penguins vs Kings Pick

  • Pick: Kings -1.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Pittsburgh Penguins vs Los Angeles Kings
  • Date & Time: Thursday, October 16, 2025, 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

  • Recent Form: The Penguins have lost two consecutive games. Their last game was a 4-3 defeat to the Anaheim Ducks, where they squandered a 2-0 lead. Pittsburgh started their season with two straight wins but is in danger of falling below .500 if they lose here. The Kings are coming off a 4-3 shootout loss to the Minnesota Wild, which was their second loss in a row as well. One of these teams has to end their two-game losing streak tonight.
  • Goaltending: Tristan Jarry has struggled for Pittsburgh, thanks in part to the fact that he has faced challenges with defensive support. Jarry has a 3.55 GAA and a .881 save percentage going into tonight’s game. The Kings’ goaltending situation hasn’t been great either. Starting netminder Darcy Kuemper is 0-2-1 on the season and has a 3.35 GAA. One of these goalies needs to step up for their team to get a much-needed win.
  • Key Skaters: Sidney Crosby continues to lead the Penguins offensively, recently surpassing Steve Yzerman on the all-time assists list. Evgeni Malkin has been a brilliant distributor with six assists for the Pens. Adrian Kempe’s recent performances have been noteworthy for the Kings. He has two goals and three assists to lead the team at five points.
  • Recent Team Streaks: Both teams are trying to end their two-game losing streaks with a win here. The Penguins enter this contest at 1-1-0 on the road. The Kings dropped their home opener in their season opener against the Colorado Avalanche.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Sidney CrosbyOver 0.5 Assists
Adrian KempeAnytime Goal Scorer

Betting Trends

  • The Penguins are 3-1 on the puckline going into Thursday night.
  • Los Angeles is 2-2 on the puckline so far this season.
  • Pittsburgh is also 3-1 on the over/under market for the year.
  • The Kings have split their four games 2-2 on the over/under side of things.

Penguins vs Kings Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Kings 5 – Penguins 2
  • Win Probability: Kings 65%, Penguins 35%

Final Thoughts

I’m going to take the Kings to win and cover the puckline at home here. Both teams have been struggling in their most recent outings, but the Kings should be able to right the ship at home against a Penguins team that has given up 10 goals over its last two games to undo all of the good they did in their first two outings of the season.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Los Angeles Kings, Pittsburgh Penguins
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