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Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders Pick - 4/4/2025

Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders Prediction – 11/7/2025

Updated November 7, 2025 • 3 min read

The Minnesota Wild will travel north to take on the New York Islanders in NHL action on Friday night. The Wild are coming off a loss on the road on Thursday night and will travel up the East Coast to take on the Isles. New York is a slight favorite and will try to capitalize on its home-ice and rest advantages. Before the puck drops on Long Island, you can find my Wild vs Islanders prediction below.

Our Wild vs Islanders Pick

  • Pick: Islanders –1.5
  • Confidence: ★★☆☆☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Minnesota Wild vs New York Islanders
  • Date & Time: Friday, November 7, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: UBS Arena in Elmont, New York
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

Recent form

The Islanders come into this game with a 6‑5‑2 record on the season. They’ve won four of their first seven home games this season. But they did lose at home to the Boston Bruins in a shootout in their last game on Tuesday and will try to bounce back from that result here.

The Wild are 5‑6‑3 so far this season. They rank in the lower tier of the league for with 2.80 goals per game and 3.67 goals allowed per game. They are also playing on the second night of a back-to-back here after losing 4-3 to the Carolina Hurricanes on Thursday night.

Goaltending

New York’s Ilya Sorokin is the expected starter in goal. Sorokin is 3-4-2 this season with a 3.33 GAA and a .879 save percentage. The Wild could go back to Filip Gustavsson in net after he played last night and let in four goals against the Hurricanes. They could also go to their backup in his place to avoid stretching Gustavsson too thin early in the season.

Key skaters

Bo Horvat is leading the Islanders’ attack with 9 goals and 6 assists (15 points) so far. Simon Holmström has also taken on a bigger role as a producer for the Islanders. He has averaged a point per game in his last seven games and is making an impact on the penalty kill as well. Minnesota is led by Kirill Kaprizov with 8 goals and 11 assists (19 points) and Matthew Boldy with 7 goals and 8 assists (15 points). It remains to be seen how Minnesota’s skaters will perform on a back-to-back here.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Bo HorvatOver 1.5 Points
Kirill KaprizovOver 0.5 Points
Simon HolmströmOver 0.5 Goals

Betting Trends & H2H

  • This is the first meeting between these teams in the regular season. They will play twice this season.
  • The Islanders are 5-8 on the puckline so far this season.
  • Minnesota is 6-9 against the puckline going into this game.
  • The Wild have gone over the total in 9 of their first 15 games.
  • The Islanders are 10-3 favoring the over so far this year.

Wild vs Islanders Model Projection

Score Projection: Islanders 4 – Wild 2
Win Probability: Islanders 58%, Wild 42%

Final Thoughts

I think that the Islanders will win and cover the puckline as a favorite on Friday night in New York. The Wild are skating on the second leg of a back-to-back here and that is not likely to help their chances of getting a win on the road. Look for New York to win by two goals or more at home.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Minnesota Wild, New York Islanders
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