The Colorado Avalanche will head to the capital of Canada to face off with the Ottawa Senators on Wednesday night. Colorado has the best record in the NHL so far this season and they will try to continue their winning ways against a Senators team that is at the bottom of the Atlantic Division. Before the puck drops in Ottawa, continue reading to find my Avalanche vs Senators prediction below.
Our Avalanche vs Senators Pick
Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Colorado Avalanche vs Ottawa Senators
- Date & Time: Wednesday, January 28, 2026, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
- Broadcast: ESPN+
Key Storylines
- Colorado enters at 35-6-9 with a 15-4-5 road record. Ottawa sits 24-21-7 and 12-10-4 at home during the 2025-26 campaign.
- The first meeting between these season took place on January 8 and ended 8-2 in favor of Colorado, highlighted by multi-point nights across their top two lines.
- Five-on-five shot volume leans toward the Avalanche going into this matchup. They average roughly 27 shots per game while Ottawa is averaging 25 shots per game.
- Special teams contrast: Colorado’s penalty kill has been successful 84.1% of the time this season, while the power play sits at 15.9%, which is surprising given how well the Avs have played at even strength. Ottawa has been more successful on the power play this season, but has not been as effective killing penalties.
Goaltending
Signs point to Scott Wedgewood getting the nod for Colorado. He comes into this contest carrying a save rate of .918 this season, with a quality outing against Washington offsetting a shootout loss to Anaheim. Ottawa’s crease is expected to be occupied by Linus Ullmark, who is 14-8-5 this season with a GAA of 2.95. We should see the Avs with the advantage in goal in this contest based on the stats for the expected starters.
Key skaters
Nathan MacKinnon leads this game by a wide margin with 88 points on 38 goals and 50 assists, and he has driven Colorado’s top line to elite on-ice shot conversion all season. Cale Makar continues to be the most impactful defenseman in the league and he will be key for the Avs in this matchup as well. For Ottawa, Tim Stützle sits on 53 points with 23 goals and 30 assists, while Brady Tkachuk’s two-way presence and shot volume remain catalysts. Jake Sanderson has been Ottawa’s most steady defenseman, both as a puck mover and on the penalty kill.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Avs are 1-0 against the Senators so far this season.
- Colorado is 27-23 in the puckline market so far this year.
- Ottawa is 21-31 on the puckline going into this matchup.
Avalanche vs Senators Model Projection
Final Thoughts
