Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Preview – 12/29/2025

The Los Angeles Rams travel to Mercedes‑Benz Stadium to face the Atlanta Falcons on Monday Night Football to close out Week 17 of the NFL season. The Rams enter this contest as one of the top teams in the NFL with an 11‑4 record, while the Falcons have struggled through a 6‑9 campaign and are playing for pride late in the year. Before this massive game for the Rams on Monday night, you can keep reading to get my Rams vs Falcons prediction.

Our Rams vs Falcons Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Los Angeles Rams vs Atlanta Falcons
• Date & Time: Monday, December 29, 2025, 8:15 PM
• Venue: Mercedes‑Benz Stadium, Atlanta
• Broadcast: ESPN

Key Storylines

The Rams have posted an impressive 11‑4 record as they chase home‑field advantage in the NFC. Los Angeles has averaged over 30 points per game while ranking near the top in total offense and scoring. Their offense is firing on cylinders with quarterback Matthew Stafford leading a pass attack that has been among the league’s best this year. But the Rams blew a huge lead in their last game against the Seattle Seahawks and will need to recover from that disappointment to get a win here.

The Falcons have struggled to find consistency and were officially eliminated from playoff contention for the eighth straight season despite winning their last two games. Recent wins over the Cardinals and Buccaneers offer a bit of hope, but Atlanta remains a long shot against a Rams team that has won most of its games and covers spreads often against inferior opponents.

Quarterback Play

Stafford remains the key piece of the Rams offense, completing a high percentage of his passes for well over 4,000 yards this season, and delivering 40 touchdowns to just 5 interceptions. His efficiency and experience give Los Angeles a clear advantage at quarterback. On the Falcons side, veteran Kirk Cousins has taken over the quarterback position following the season‑ending injury to Michael Penix Jr., but Atlanta’s offensive output still ranks below league average.

Betting Trends

• The Rams are 11-4 against the spread this season.
• Atlanta is 7-7-1 against the spread going into Week 17.
• The Rams have gone over the total in 8 of their 15 games.
• Atlanta is 7-7-1 in the over/under market this year.

Rams vs Falcons Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.