Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers Prediction – 11/15/2025

The Toronto Raptors will close out a five-game road trip against a deeply depleted Indiana Pacers squad on Saturday. The Raptors enter with a solid 7–5 record, while the Pacers are reeling at just 1–11, battling significant injury troubles that have dramatically impacted their production. Here, I break down this Eastern Conference matchup in the NBA and give you my Raptors vs Pacers prediction for Saturday night.

Our Raptors vs Pacers Pick

• Pick: Raptors –7.5
• Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers
• Date & Time: Saturday, November 15, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
• Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

The Indiana Pacers are in crisis mode. Their record stands at 1–11 and their offense has been wildly inefficient, averaging only 108.5 points per game. Their field goal percentage is a paltry 39.9% and they are shooting just 29.5% from three-point range.

Those subpar numbers are compounded by a rash of injuries. Tyrese Haliburton is out for the season and other rotation players such as Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, and Johnny Furphy are sidelined or limited in some capacity.

For Toronto, the vibe is more optimistic. They are 7–5 and have been sharp offensively. Scottie Barnes is averaging 20.2 points, 7.6 rebounds, 5.2 assists, 1.5 steals, and 1.8 blocks per game. Immanuel Quickley has caught fire too, averaging 25.0 points over his last 10 games. The Raptors’ balanced scoring and defensive discipline give them a clear edge against the undermanned Pacers.

Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends

• This is the first of four games between the Raptors and Pacers this season.
• The Raptors are 6-6 against the spread so far this season.
• Indiana is 5-7 against the spread going into this matchup.
• The under is 9-3 in Indiana’s games so far this season.
• The Raptors have gone 6-6 in the over/under market this year.

Best Player Props to Watch

Raptors vs Pacers Model Projection

Score Projection: Raptors 117 – Pacers 104

Win Probability: Raptors 75%, Pacers 25%

Final Thoughts

Indiana’s season has spiraled behind key injuries and poor efficiency from the field and beyond the arc. Toronto is playing with confidence and they should be able to take care of business against the Pacers here. The Pacers have lost six games in a row and I’m expecting them to lose their seventh straight at the hands of the Raptors tonight. I’ll lay the points with Toronto on Saturday night.

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.