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New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction - 3/15/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction – 10/24/2025

Updated October 24, 2025 • 3 min read

The San Antonio Spurs and New Orleans Pelicans will meet in NBA action on Friday night. The Spurs earned one of the most impressive wins in the NBA this season to open their campaign. They will try to improve to 2-0 on the season by beating New Orleans. Before tip-off from the Crescent City, continue reading to get my Spurs vs Pelicans prediction in Western Conference action.

Our Spurs vs Pelicans Pick

  • Pick: Spurs -4.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Antonio Spurs @ New Orleans Pelicans
  • Date & Time: Friday, October 24, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
  • Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

The San Antonio Spurs enter this matchup with a surge of momentum following a dominant 125–92 victory over the Dallas Mavericks. Victor Wembanyama enjoyed a sensational return after missing the final three months of the previous season due to a blood clot. Wemby had 40 points and 15 rebounds in just 30 minutes of play. His performance has set high expectations for the Spurs’ season.

The New Orleans Pelicans are looking to rebound from a 128–122 loss to the Memphis Grizzlies in their opener. They squandered a 15-point lead to lose that contest. Starting center Yves Missi left the game with an ankle injury, adding injury to insult, rather than the other way around. The Pelicans will need to address their defensive issues to compete effectively against the Spurs.

This game will pit a pair of former number-one overall draft picks against one another. Wembanyama and Zion Williamson were both drafted to be the faces of their respective franchises. But Williamson has struggled to stay on the floor throughout his career and a game like this one is a chance for him to prove that he’s still an elite player.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • The Pelicans won three of their four meetings against the Spurs last season.
  • New Orleans failed to cover the spread in their first game of the season.
  • San Antonio covered the spread convincingly in their win over the Mavs on Wednesday.
  • New Orleans saw their season opener go over the total.
  • The Spurs had their first game go under the total.

Best Player Props to Watch

PlayerProp
Victor WembanyamaOver 28.5 Points
Zion WilliamsonOver 24.5 Points

Spurs vs Pelicans Model Projection

Score Projection: Spurs 118 – Pelicans 110

Win Probability: Spurs 65%, Pelicans 35%

Final Thoughts

With Victor Wembanyama’s impressive return and the Spurs’ defensive improvements, they are well-positioned to secure a road victory against the Pelicans. The defense of the Pelicans struggled in key moments against the Grizzlies and we should see the Spurs win and cover the spread on the road in this matchup from Smoothie King Center.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: New Orleans Pelicans, San Antonio Spurs
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