Game 3 between the New York Knicks and Atlanta Hawks shifts the series to Atlanta with everything reset after a split in New York. The Hawks stole Game 2 with a late comeback, pulling out a 107-106 win after trailing late in the fourth quarter. That result flipped the tone of this series, turning what could have been a commanding Knicks lead into a best-of-five battle. With both teams showing the ability to control stretches of play, Knicks vs Hawks Game 3 will decide who has the upper hand in this series as we approach the business end.
Knicks vs Hawks Pick
- Pick: New York Knicks ML
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks
- Date & Time: Thursday, April 23, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
- Broadcast: Prime Video
Key Storylines
The series sits at 1-1, though the Knicks arguably controlled more total minutes across the first two games. Their Game 2 loss exposed late-game execution issues, including turnovers and defensive breakdowns in the paint. Atlanta capitalized by attacking inside and getting efficient scoring late.
Another storyline centers on rebounding. New York has held a clear edge on the glass, which has helped them generate second-chance opportunities. If that continues, it could offset Atlanta’s efficient offense. Meanwhile, the Hawks return home where their pace and shot-making tend to improve, especially from beyond the arc.
The big question going into Game 3 is how the Knicks will respond to their loss at Madison Square Garden last time out. New York scored six points in the final 5:30 of that game. If their confidence is shaken by that performance, Atlanta could be in position to take advantage.
Key Players
Atlanta Hawks
- CJ McCollum is coming off a 32-point performance in Game 2 and remains the primary scoring option. His ability to create shots late in games was the difference last time out.
- Jalen Johnson provides versatility and scoring support, contributing across multiple categories and helping push tempo.
- Onyeka Okongwu anchors the interior on defense and will be crucial in limiting New York’s rebounding advantage. His three-point shooting has also been a huge help for Atlanta in the series.
New York Knicks
- Jalen Brunson leads the offense and scored 29 points in Game 2. He consistently generates quality looks and is projected to push past the mid-20s again.
- Karl-Anthony Towns adds spacing and scoring from all over the floor, creating matchup problems with his ability to stretch the floor.
- Josh Hart contributes with rebounding and hustle plays, often impacting possessions beyond what the box score shows.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- The Knicks are 3-2 overall against the Hawks so far this year, including the playoffs.
- The Knicks are 45-40 against the spread going into this contest.
- Atlanta enters this game at 45-39 against the spread for the year.
Knicks vs Hawks Game 3 Model Projection
- Score Projection: New York Knicks 116 – Atlanta Hawks 115
- Win Probability: Knicks 52%, Hawks 48%
New York remains the more balanced team despite the Game 2 setback. The rebounding edge and better defensive metrics give them a slightly higher floor in close contests. Atlanta’s offense is dangerous, especially at home, though they rely heavily on shot-making that can vary from game to game.
My projections make this a tight game, with a hint of value on the visitors. I’ll take the Knicks as a slight underdot to retake the lead and home-court advantage in this series.
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