Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards Props & ATS Pick – 12/28/2025

The Memphis Grizzlies (15-16) make the trip to face the Washington Wizards (6-23) on Sunday at Capital One Arena in Washington, D.C. The matchup pits a Grizzlies team that has shown improvement recently against a Wizards squad looking for a second win in a row. Memphis enters as a solid favorite in this contest, but the Wizards will be looking to pull off an upset on their home floor. Here, I break down this matchup and give you my Grizzlies vs Wizards prediction for Sunday evening.

Our Grizzlies vs Wizards Pick

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies @ Washington Wizards
• Date & Time: Sunday, December 28, 2025, 6:00 p.m. ET
• Venue: Capital One Arena, Washington, District of Columbia
• Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

Memphis has been inconsistent this season but arrives on a slight upswing after a 125-104 win over the Milwaukee Bucks in their most recent outing. Ja Morant returned from a left ankle injury and contributed 17 points and 10 assists, giving the Grizzlies added offensive punch. Jaren Jackson Jr. has been steady with around 18 points per game and remains a defensive anchor.

However, Memphis is dealing with a ton of injuries. Ty Jerome, Brandon Clarke, Scotty Pippen Jr., Zach Edey, John Konchar, and Vince Williams Jr. are all out for this game, and Jock Landale is questionable. Their depleted roster shifts more responsibility to Jackson Jr., Morant, and supporting pieces like Santi Aldama and Cam Spencer.

Washington’s season has been challenging, reflected in their 6-23 record. But they did score 138 points in a win over the Toronto Raptors in their last game behind CJ McCollum and Bilal Coulibaly. McCollum leads the team in scoring with nearly 19 points per game, though consistency for him and the rest of the roster remains an issue.

The Wizards continue to battle injuries. Cam Whitmore is out indefinitely with a blood clot, and Corey Kispert is out due to a hamstring issue. Malaki Branham and Kyshawn George are questionable. Washington’s defense has been vulnerable, allowing over 125 points per game, and the Wizards will need to overcome some key absences to improve on that figure here.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

• Washington claimed an upset win over Memphis earlier this season by a score of 130-122.
• The Grizzlies are 15-16 against the spread this season.
• The Wizards are 11-18 against the spread for the year.
• Washington has gone over the total in 17 of their first 29 games.
• Memphis has seen 19 of their 31 games stay under their respective totals.

Best Player Props to Watch

Grizzlies vs Wizards Model Projection

Final Thoughts

Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.