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Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers nba betting preview and prediction

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers Pick & Prediction – 3/1/2026

Updated March 1, 2026 • 3 min read

The Memphis Grizzlies travel to Indianapolis to face the Indiana Pacers on Sunday in a game between two teams near the bottom of their respective conference standings. Both clubs enter this game with struggles and injuries to overcome, but someone has to win this matchup on Sunday. Before tip-off from Indy, you will find my Grizzlies vs Pacers prediction here.

Our Grizzlies vs Pacers Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Memphis Grizzlies @ Indiana Pacers
  • Date & Time: Sunday, March 1, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

  • The Grizzlies have recently reversed a losing skid with a convincing road win over Dallas where they scored 124 points and received contributions from multiple players.
  • Indiana enters this game losers of five straight, continuing a difficult season that has seen them struggle both offensively and defensively.
  • Pacers star Tyrese Haliburton remains out for the season with an Achilles injury, compounding what has been a challenging campaign for the Eastern Conference club. But both of these teams have been banged up all season long.

Key Players

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Cedric Coward – Leading scorer for Memphis with roughly 13.3 points per game and around 6.2 rebounds, providing a reliable offensive presence during a season where reliability has been hard to come by.
  • Cam Spencer – Key playmaker averaging about 11.4 points and 5.5 assists per game, also strong from beyond the arc with about 2.1 made 3‑pointers per contest.
  • Jaylen Wells – Provides scoring around 12.3 PPG with secondary rebounds and defensive plays, helping Memphis maintain offensive rotation stability.

Indiana Pacers

  • Pascal Siakam – The clear primary option for Indiana, averaging nearly 24 points per game while also contributing 6.8 rebounds and about 3.9 assists.
  • Jarace Walker – Pacers forward averaging around 14.8 points and 7.7 rebounds, a versatile forward who can impact on both ends.
  • Andrew Nembhard – Pacers’ facilitator averaging in the vicinity of 6.3 assists and nearly 14 points per game when available, though listed as day‑to‑day.

Stat Comparison

StatMemphis GrizzliesIndiana Pacers
Points per Game115.6111.5
Points Allowed per Game117.9119.5
Team Field Goal %46%45%
Rebounds per Game44.542.6
Assists per Game28.826.3

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • The teams meet for the second time this season after Memphis won the earlier encounter by a wide margin.
  • Memphis is 26-32 against the spread this season.
  • Indiana comes into this contest with a 28-32 record against the spread for the year.

Grizzlies vs Pacers Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Indiana Pacers, Memphis Grizzlies
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