The Dallas Mavericks will host the Indiana Pacers on Wednesday night in the NBA. Both of these teams have struggled mightily out of the gate this season, but one of them has to win this game. Here, I try to answer which team that will be, as I make my Pacers vs Mavericks prediction for this inter-conference matchup in the NBA.
Our Pacers vs Mavericks Pick
- Pick: Mavericks -6.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Indiana Pacers @ Dallas Mavericks
- Date & Time: Wednesday, October 29, 2025, 8:30 PM ET
- Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
- Broadcast: NBA League Pass
Key Storylines
- Indiana enters at 0‑3 in the young season. They are still searching for any offensive consistency or defensive identity early on. They were in a tight game on Sunday but lost 114‑110 to Minnesota. The Pacers have given up over 110 points in each of their first three games this season.
- Dallas is 1‑3 to start the season. They haven’t exactly been dominant either, but they showed signs of life in a 139‑129 home win over Toronto and then a competitive home loss to Oklahoma City. They are at home here and will try to take advantage of the struggles of the Pacers here.
- Indiana is missing Andrew Nembhard, Bennedict Mathurin, and Obi Toppin. Dallas is without Dante Exum, while several key players like Anthony Davis are questionable for this contest.
- The Mavericks are at home for the fifth straight game to start this season. That interesting scheduling quirk will leave them with more road games later in the season than most teams have to deal with.
Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends
- The Pacers won the two regular-season games between these teams last season.
- The Pacers are 2-1 against the spread to start the season.
- Dallas is 2-2 against the spread going into this contest.
- The Mavericks have stayed under the total in three of their first four games.
- Indiana is 1-2 on over/unders going into this game.
Best Player Props to Watch
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Klay Thompson (DAL) | Over 11.5 Points |
| Klay Thompson (DAL) | Over 2.5 Made Threes |
Pacers vs Mavericks Model Projection
Score Projection: Indiana Pacers 108 – Dallas Mavericks 118
Win Probability: Indiana 28%, Dallas 72%
Final Thoughts
Both of these teams are off to rough starts this year. But I think that the Mavs are in the best position to get into the win column in this game. The Mavs have been playing at home in every game to start their season and they should get a big win on their home floor against a Pacers team that has looked lost due to all of the injuries they are dealing with. Look for Klay Thompson to have a big shooting game against a bad Pacers defense and for Dallas to improve to 2-3 on the season.
