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Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction - 5/14/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction – 1/24/2026

Updated January 24, 2026 • 3 min read

Saturday’s NBA schedule stops in Minneapolis, where Stephen Curry and Golden State visit Anthony Edwards and Minnesota at Target Center. It’s the first leg of a two-game set in the Twin Cities, and both sides enter with less than stellar recent results. The Warriors have dropped 2 straight after a strong mid-January run, while the Timberwolves are trying to steady themselves after 4 consecutive losses. Here, I break down this contest in the NBA and you can find my Warriors vs Timberwolves prediction right here.

Our Warriors vs Timberwolves Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 2/5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves
  • Date & Time: Saturday, January 24, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Broadcast: ABC

Key Storylines

  • Superstar duel: Curry enters at 27.4 PPG; Edwards sits at 29.6 PPG. Both are primary scorers with late-clock shot creation ability and the winner of that duel could end up getting their team a win here.
  • Interior presence: Gobert’s 11.3 RPG anchors Minnesota’s paint presence. Draymond Green leads Golden State in boards and table-setting at 5.8 RPG and 5.2 APG. The Wolves have a major size advantage here and will try to use that to help them win this game.
  • Perimeter volume: Golden State ranks near the top of the NBA in threes attempted and made. Minnesota’s length on the wing must contest without excessive fouling.
  • Form and context: Golden State is 25-21 after losses to Dallas and Toronto this week. Minnesota is 27-18 and looking to stop a 4-game slide after falling to Chicago on Thursday.
  • Injuries and availability: Jimmy Butler is out for the season for the Warriors and Jonathan Kuminga is day-to-day. Seth Curry is sidelined short term. For Minnesota, rotation depth is largely intact, with minor back-end absences.

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Past meetings: Minnesota won 127-120 at Golden State on December 12. This is their second meeting of the 2025-26 season.
  • ATS and O/U records: Entering the weekend, Golden State sits at 22-24 ATS with a 28-18 O/U record. Minnesota checks in at 19-26 ATS with totals at 22-23 this year, slightly favoring the under.
  • Home/road splits: The Warriors are 8-14 away this season and the Timberwolves are 15-7 at home.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Model Projection

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Golden State Warriors, Minnesota Timberwolves
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