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Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction - 4/11/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction: Who Wins In Makeup Matchup In Memphis?

Updated March 18, 2026 • 3 min read

The Denver Nuggets head to Memphis riding strong form after a dominant win on Tuesday night, while the Memphis Grizzlies continue to search for consistency with a depleted roster. Denver remains one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league, powered by elite production from Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray. Memphis, meanwhile, has struggled to maintain continuity due to injuries and lineup changes, leading to uneven results. This Nuggets vs Grizzlies matchup was originally scheduled for January 25, but is being made up in March, and I’ll break it all down for you below.

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Denver Nuggets @ Memphis Grizzlies
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, March 18, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee
  • Broadcast: NBA League Pass

Key Storylines

  • Denver enters the game after a 124-96 blowout win over the 76ers, showing strong offensive rhythm.
  • Memphis has been short-handed, with key contributors dealing with injuries. The Grizzlies have lost eight straight games entering this contest.
  • The Nuggets have already beaten the Grizzlies twice this season.
  • Memphis has struggled defensively, allowing over 117 points per game.
  • This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Nuggets, which could make things a little tougher than usual for them.

Key Players

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Ty Jerome is the starting point guard for the Grizzlies right now with all of the injuries they are facing. He will need to limit turnovers and be highly productive for Memphis to have a chance.
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper is going to be tasked with guarding Nikola Jokic for large portions of this game from the center spot. It will be interesting to see how that goes, as Jokic is so much better than the defenders he is usually paired up with.

Denver Nuggets

  • Nikola Jokic is averaging 28.8 points, 12.5 rebounds, and 10.3 assists, continuing his MVP-level production.
  • Jamal Murray adds 25.5 points and 7.2 assists while shooting over 43% from three-point range.
  • Aaron Gordon provides balance with 17.0 points and 6.0 rebounds, helping on both ends of the floor.

Stat Comparison

CategoryDenver NuggetsMemphis Grizzlies
Points per game120.7115.6
Points allowed per game116.3118.6
Team Field Goal %49%46%
Rebounds per game43.443.5
Assists per game28.328.6

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Denver leads the season series 2-0.
  • Denver is 39-30 against the spread this season.
  • Memphis comes into this game at 31-36 against the spread.

Nuggets vs Grizzlies Pick & Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Nuggets 121 – Grizzlies 112 ATS PRO
  • Pick: Grizzlies +13.5 ATS PRO
  • Confidence: 4 out of 5 ATS PRO
  • Win Probability: Nuggets 62%, Grizzlies 38% ATS PRO

Denver holds clear advantages in efficiency, shooting, and star power. With Jokic orchestrating the offense and Murray providing perimeter scoring, the Nuggets are well-equipped to exploit a Memphis defense that has struggled to contain high-level offenses. But it wouldn’t surprise me to see Denver sit some players that aren’t Jokic in this game, having just played yesterday. I’ll take the points with Memphis in what should be a good game from FedEx Forum.

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Jake Williams

Jake Williams is a sports gambling expert with over a decade in the sports betting and DFS spaces. His main sports are basketball and football (real original), but he has also branched out into handicapping hockey, baseball, and plenty of niche sports as well. He is a fan of the Tennessee Volunteers, even though they have hurt him time and time again.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Denver Nuggets, Memphis Grizzlies
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