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Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs Pick - 3/14/2025

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction: Surging Hornets Face Texas-Sized Road Test

Updated March 14, 2026 • 3 min read

The Charlotte Hornets head to Texas on Saturday for a meeting with the San Antonio Spurs in a game that has clear importance in the standings as the regular season moves closer to the final stretch. San Antonio has been one of the best teams in the Western Conference with a strong record, while Charlotte has played improved basketball during the second half of the season and continues to push for better playoff positioning in the East. Before tip-off in Texas, continue reading to find my Hornets vs Spurs prediction below.

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Charlotte Hornets @ San Antonio Spurs
  • Date & Time: Saturday, March 14, 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas
  • Broadcast: Prime Video

Key Storylines

  • San Antonio enters the game with one of the best records in the league and continues to build around a young core that is already producing at a high level.
  • Charlotte has surged since the start of the year and has played some of its best basketball recently, winning 8 of its last 10 games.
  • Victor Wembanyama is dealing with ankle soreness and his availability could influence the betting line and interior matchup in this contest.
  • Both teams rank among the better three-point shooting groups in the league since the All-Star break.

Key Players

San Antonio Spurs

  • Victor Wembanyama leads San Antonio with 24.2 points per game while adding 11.1 rebounds and 3.0 blocks. His length alters shots around the rim and creates matchup problems for opposing defenses.
  • Stephon Castle continues a strong campaign while running the offense. He averages about 7.0 assists per game and recently delivered a 30-point triple-double performance that highlighted his growing impact all over the floor.
  • Devin Vassell supplies perimeter scoring with around 18 points per game and stretches defenses with efficient shooting from long range.

Charlotte Hornets

  • LaMelo Ball drives the Charlotte offense with roughly 7.2 assists per game. His deep shooting range and playmaking ability open opportunities for teammates.
  • Brandon Miller contributes about 21 points per game and is one of the team’s most reliable shooters from beyond the arc.
  • Kon Knueppel has also been a major addition, averaging double-figures per game while setting a rookie three-point record.

Stat Comparison

CategoryHornetsSpurs
Points per game115.7118.9
Points allowed per game112.3111.9
Team Field Goal %46%48%
Rebounds Per Game46.246.4
Assists Per Game26.527.4

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Charlotte won the first meeting between these teams this season by a score of 111-106 in Charlotte.
  • Hornets ATS record: 40-27
  • Spurs ATS record: 37-28-2

Hornets vs Spurs Pick & Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Hornets 112 – Spurs 118 ATS PRO
  • Pick: Spurs -5.5 ATS PRO
  • Confidence: 3 out of 5 ATS PRO
  • Win Probability: Hornets 43%, Spurs 57% ATS PRO

San Antonio has shown strong offensive efficiency this season and continues to get steady production from several young players. The Spurs create good ball movement, ranking near the top of the league in assists per game, and their three-point shooting has improved significantly in recent weeks. Charlotte has the scoring ability to keep the game close, especially with Ball orchestrating the offense and Bridges providing another scoring threat.

However, San Antonio’s interior presence gives it an advantage. If Wembanyama is available, his rebounding and rim protection could slow Charlotte’s drives and force more difficult shots. Even if his minutes are limited, the Spurs still have enough perimeter scoring from Castle and Vassell to score in bunches and cover the spread at home.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Charlotte Hornets, San Antonio Spurs
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