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Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Prediction, Preview & Parlay Picks – 6/27/2026

Updated June 25, 2026 • 4 min read

Nazim Sadykhov returns to action on June 27 at UFC Baku looking to bounce back from the first loss of his UFC career when he meets rising Brazilian lightweight Matheus Camilo. The matchup sits in a featured spot on the main card, with sportsbooks installing Sadykhov as a moderate favorite. The bout pits an aggressive knockout artist against a younger, well-rounded prospect who is still trying to establish himself in the UFC lightweight division.

Sadykhov enters the contest with a professional record of 11-2-1 and has built a reputation as one of the most entertaining fighters at 155 pounds. Eight of his victories have come by knockout, and his pressure-heavy striking style has produced memorable wins over Ismael Bonfim, Terrance McKinney, and Nikolas Motta. Camilo brings a 10-3 record into the cage and is coming off a decision victory over Viacheslav Borshchev after previously dropping a fight to Gabe Green. At 24 years old, Camilo remains a developing talent, but this matchup represents a major step up in competition for him.

Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Prediction

  • Pick: Nazim Sadykhov by KO/TKO
  • Confidence: 4 out of 5
  • Win Probability: Nazim Sadykhov 70%, Matheus Camilo 30%

Sadykhov has several advantages heading into this fight. He owns the more proven UFC résumé, carries greater finishing power, and has consistently performed well against stronger opposition. His ability to pressure opponents and force exchanges should be a major factor against Camilo, who has occasionally struggled when backed up and forced to fight at a high pace.

Camilo is athletic, durable, and owns a brown belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, but his striking defense remains a concern. While he earned a solid win over Borshchev, he absorbed plenty of offense in that contest and does not possess the same level of firepower as Sadykhov. If Camilo cannot consistently threaten takedowns, he may find himself trapped in extended striking exchanges where Sadykhov has a clear edge.

Sadykhov’s pressure, experience, and finishing ability make him the logical side of betting markets. Camilo is capable of having success early if he mixes his attacks and uses movement, but over the course of three rounds, Sadykhov should be the fighter landing the more damaging shots. The most likely outcome is a stoppage somewhere in the second round after sustained pressure wears Camilo down.

Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Parlay

  • Nazim Sadykhov Moneyline -245
  • Fight Ends by Knockout -115
  • Under 2.5 Rounds -175
    • Parlay Odds: +180

The foundation of this parlay is Sadykhov’s superior experience and striking output. He has developed a reputation as an action fighter and owns eight knockout victories. Most of his best performances have come when he can force opponents into exchanges along the fence and overwhelm them with volume and power.

The KO/TKO leg aligns with both the stylistic matchup and Sadykhov’s historical results. Camilo has shown toughness, but he has not faced many fighters with Sadykhov’s combination of pressure and finishing ability. If Sadykhov wins, there is a strong chance he does so inside the distance.

The final leg focuses on the fight ending before the scorecards. Both fighters have finishing ability, and Sadykhov’s aggressive approach rarely produces slow-paced contests. Combining those factors creates a parlay that offers considerably more upside than laying heavy juice on the favorite’s moneyline alone.

Tale of the Tape

CategoryNazim SadykhovMatheus Camilo
Age3225
Height5’10”5’10”
Reach69″69″
StanceSouthpawOrthodox
Record11-2-110-3

Nazim Sadykhov vs Matheus Camilo Preview

Sadykhov has quickly become a fan favorite thanks to his aggressive style and willingness to engage. The New York-based lightweight of Azerbaijani heritage has earned several exciting victories in the UFC and has shown an ability to hurt opponents with both hands. His pressure game is complemented by solid takedown defense, making him difficult to neutralize.

Although he suffered a stoppage loss against Fares Ziam in his most recent outing, that defeat does little to erase the quality of his overall UFC run. Prior wins over Bonfim, McKinney, and Motta demonstrated the ceiling he possesses when he is fighting with confidence.

Camilo enters this contest as one of the younger fighters in the division. Training at Xtreme Couture, he brings a balanced skill set and has shown competence both on the feet and on the ground. His victory over Borshchev was important for his development, giving him his first UFC win after a difficult start to his run in the promotion.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: matheus camilo, nazim sadykhov
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