The Los Angeles Dodgers and Philadelphia Phillies will meet in Game 4 of their National League Division series on Thursday. Los Angeles holds a 2–1 series edge and is at home with a chance to close things out. But the road team has won the first three games of this series and the Phillies will try to force a deciding Game 5 by grabbing another road win here. Before the first pitch is thrown at Dodger Stadium, continue reading for my Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 prediction.
Our Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 Pick
- Pick: Dodgers Moneyline
- Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Thursday, October 9, 2025, 6:08 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Cristopher Sánchez (LHP) vs Tyler Glasnow (RHP)
- Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: TBS / truTV / HBO Max
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
The Phillies will hand the ball to left-hander Cristopher Sánchez, who posted a 13–5 regular season record with a strong 2.50 ERA. In his last start in this series, he struck out eight batters over 5.2 innings, allowing two earned runs. The Dodgers will go with Tyler Glasnow, making his first postseason start after an earlier relief appearance in the series. Glasnow had a 3.19 ERA in the regular season and brings excellent velocity and swing-and-miss stuff.
Key Players
- Kyle Schwarber has re-emerged in this series. He launched two home runs in Game 3 and looks like the Phillies’ most dangerous bat going into this matchup.
- Trea Turner, Bryce Harper, and the top of the Philly order have to generate offense against Glasnow to chase him from the game as early as possible.
- Teoscar Hernández has been red hot in postseason play for the Dodgers. He has racked up RBI in consecutive games and will look to extend that streak here.
- Shohei Ohtani has been held in check in this series. If he finds early success against Sánchez, the Dodgers’ offense could get extra traction.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Dodgers won Games 1 and 2 of this series, then lost Game 3 at home.
- Los Angeles is 4-1 in postseason play thus far.
- The road team has won all three games of this series so far.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Teoscar Hernández | Over 0.5 RBI |
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Phillies have a 5-4 lead over the Dodgers between the regular season and playoffs.
- Two of the first three games in this series have been decided by two runs or more.
Phillies vs Dodgers Game 4 Model Projection
Score Projection: Dodgers 5 – Phillies 4
Win Probability: Dodgers 55%, Phillies 45%
Final Thoughts
This is going to be the game where Shohei Ohtani has his breakout performance for the Dodgers in the postseason. Ohtani has struggled in the playoffs so far, but he is always just a swing away from changing that. I expect him to go deep in this game and for the Dodgers to get the first home win for either team in this series, punching their ticket back to the NLCS.
