The New York Mets head west to open a four-game set against the San Francisco Giants on Thursday night in a matchup that brings together two clubs searching for a spark early in the season. Both teams are at or below the .500 mark going into this series opener from San Francisco. With David Peterson and Robbie Ray set to take the mound, continue reading to get my thoughts on the game, including my Mets vs Giants prediction.
Mets vs Giants Pick
- Pick: Giants Moneyline
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
- Date & Time: Thursday, April 2, 9:45 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: David Peterson vs Robbie Ray
- Stadium: Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
- The Mets enter after a tight extra-inning loss to the St. Louis Cardinals, which was their third loss in four games.
- The Giants had a two-game winning streak snapped in their last game by losing to the San Diego Padres.
- The Giants are still searching for their first home win of the season after getting swept at home in their first series of the year.
- San Francisco is off to the slowest offensive start in baseball this season, scoring just 14 runs through their first six games.
Pitching Matchup
- David Peterson didn’t allow an earned run in his first start of the season, but he did have a 1.50 WHIP, which was concerning even if he didn’t bleed runs.
- Robbie Ray took a loss in his first start of the season and he will try to bounce back after giving up a hit per inning in his first start of the year.
Key Players
- Juan Soto remains the centerpiece of the Mets lineup with elite on-base skills and five RBI in six games.
- Luis Arraez has been the most prolific hitter for the Giants to start the year. He has a .304 batting average going into this game.
- Jung Hoo Lee leads the Giants with three RBI through six games, as the Giants’ offense has struggled mightily early in the season.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets have lost two straight games and three of their last four.
- The Giants won two of the three games in their most recent series.
Betting Trends
- The Mets have stayed under the total in five of their first six games.
- The Giants are 1-3-2 in the over/under market for the season.
- The Mets are 3-3 in the runline market so far this season.
- The Giants are 1-5 on the runline going into this matchup.
Mets vs Giants Model Projection
- Score Projection: Mets 2 – Giants 3
- Win Probability: Mets 44%, Giants 56%
The numbers point to a competitive game, but the Giants hold a slight edge at home. Both teams have been struggling to generate consistent offense, but some positive regression is around the corner for the Giants at some point here. I’ll take the Giants as a slight underdog on the moneyline in what should be a close contest in the Bay Area.
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