The New York Mets head west looking to stop a rough early-season slide as they face the Los Angeles Dodgers on Tuesday night. Los Angeles has opened the year as one of the most productive offenses in baseball, while New York has struggled badly at the plate, entering this contest on a six-game losing streak and coming off a shutout loss in the series opener. With a strong pitching duel lined up for this contest, it will be interesting to see if New York can get its offense in gear in this Mets vs Dodgers matchup.
Mets vs Dodgers Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
- Confidence: 4 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 10:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Nolan McLean vs Yoshinobu Yamamoto
- Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: MLB.tv
Key Storylines
- The Mets have lost six straight games and have gone 20 innings without scoring a run.
- The Dodgers continue to produce offensively, averaging nearly 6 runs per game.
- New York is dealing with key injuries, including Juan Soto being sidelined, which hasn’t held their offensive issues at all early in the season.
- Los Angeles enters with one of the best records in MLB at 12-4 and they have opened up a two-game lead over the San Diego Padres in the NL West.
Pitching Matchup
- Yoshinobu Yamamoto enters with a 2-1 record and a 2.50 ERA, showing consistency through his first three starts.
- Nolan McLean has impressed early with a 2.70 ERA and strong control, posting 20 strikeouts to 6 walks.
- Yamamoto has averaged 6 innings in each start early in the year, offering stability for Los Angeles.
- McLean has been efficient but still lacks deep outing experience compared to his counterpart in this game.
Key Players
- Andy Pages is off to a dominant start with a .417 average and 20 RBI to lead the Dodgers.
- Shohei Ohtani continues to reach base consistently, extending a long on-base streak. He also leads the Dodgers with five home runs to begin the year.
- Bo Bichette leads the Mets in RBI with 9, but has struggled during the team’s recent skid.
- Francisco Alvarez provides power with 4 home runs for New York.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Mets are 0-6 in their last 6 games.
- The Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- New York has scored just 8 runs across its last 5 games.
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Dodgers are 1-0 against the Mets this season, beating New York 4-0 last night.
- The under cashed in the first game between these teams this season.
- Los Angeles is 8-8 in the over/under market for the season.
- The under is 8-7-2 in Mets games this year.
Mets vs Dodgers Model Projection
- Score Projection: New York Mets 2 – Los Angeles Dodgers 5
- Win Probability: New York Mets 36%, Los Angeles Dodgers 64%
The data points strongly favor Los Angeles in this spot. While Nolan McLean has shown promise, he now faces one of the most productive lineups in baseball, and the Mets bullpen remains a concern if he cannot go deep into the game. On the other side, Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been steady and reliable, consistently limiting damage and pitching into later innings.
The biggest difference in this game is offensive form. The Mets are struggling to generate any run production, ranking near the bottom of the league in key hitting metrics and failing to string together quality at-bats. Meanwhile, the Dodgers are thriving with a deep lineup that continues to produce power and timely hitting. Even if McLean performs well early, the Dodgers have enough depth to break through as the game progresses. I’ll lay the runline with the Dodgers here, as they should take advantage of the offensive woes of the Mets once again.
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