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los angeles dodgers vs milwaukee brewers prediction and preview

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Game 4 Prediction – 10/17/2025

Updated October 17, 2025 • 3 min read

The Los Angeles Dodgers will host the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 4 of the National League Championship Series on Friday night. The Dodgers have taken a 3-0 series lead and are a game away from making it back to the World Series. Can they close it out in four games tonight? Continue reading to get my Brewers vs Dodgers Game 4 prediction.

Our Brewers vs Dodgers Game 4 Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5
  • Confidence: ★★★☆☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Date and Time: Friday, October 17, 2025, 8:38 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Shohei Ohtani (LAD) vs Undecided (MIL)
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
  • Broadcast: TBS / truTV / HBO Max

Key Storylines

The Dodgers control the series after a 3-1 victory in Game 3, which gave them a 3-0 advantage. There has only been one instance in MLB history of a team coming back from a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven series and that was over two decades ago. Needless to say, the Brewers are not in a good spot right now.

Los Angeles is turning to Shohei Ohtani to start Game 4 with 12 days of rest since his last pitching appearance. Ohtani has been a mixed bag at the plate this postseason and has posted limited run production but that could change at any time. He also happens to be excellent on the mound.

Milwaukee has generated only 10 hits through three games in this series and has scored one run in each game. Manager Pat Murphy has not publicly announced the Brewers starter, but Jose Quintana is being mentioned as a candidate. Milwaukee needs a miracle at this point and they will try to start that miracle tonight.

Key Players

  1. Shohei Ohtani: Ohtani is a two-way threat on the mound and in the lineup. He is expected to make an impact in multiple ways in this game.
  2. Jackson Chourio: Milwaukee’s top young bat left Game 3 with a cramp and is listed as day-to-day. The Brewers need him to have any chance of mounting a comeback.
  3. Tommy Edman: Edman is Los Angeles’ spark plug and delivered the go-ahead hit in Game 3.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropStrikeoutsTotal Bases
Shohei OhtaniOver 1.5 Total Bases4+N A
Jackson ChourioUnder 1.5 Total Bases1 to 31 to 3
Max MuncyOver 0.5 Home Runs0 to 21 to 4

Betting Trends and Head-to-Head

  • The Brewers lead the season series 6-3 over the Dodgers.
  • Milwaukee went 6-0 against the Dodgers in the regular season but are 0-3 against the Dodgers in the postseason.
  • Each of the first three games of this series have gone under their respective totals.

Brewers vs Dodgers Game 4 Model Projection

Score Projection: Brewers 2, Dodgers 5

Win Probability: Brewers 25%, Dodgers 75%

Final Thoughts

The Brewers have had an incredible season. But I think that season is about to come to an end on Friday night. The Dodgers have shut down the Milwaukee offense and should be able to slam the door on the series tonight. I’ll lay the runline with LA as they should complete the sweep of Milwaukee and get back to the World Series.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
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