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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction - 5/11/2025

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction: Can LA Move to 4-0 Against Arizona In 2026?

Updated June 1, 2026 • 4 min read

The Los Angeles Dodgers open a four-game NL West series against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday night at Chase Field in a matchup featuring two clubs that have played some of their best baseball in recent weeks. Los Angeles enters the game with a 38-21 record after a convincing 9-1 victory over Philadelphia on Sunday, while Arizona sits at 31-27 despite an extra-inning loss in Seattle on Sunday. The Dodgers are favorites going into this contest, and you will find my Dodgers vs Diamondbacks prediction for this series opener right here.

Our Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Pick

  • Pick: Dodgers Moneyline
  • Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date & Time: Monday, June 1, 2026, 9:40 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Emmet Sheehan vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  • Stadium: Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
  • Broadcast: MLB.TV

Key Storylines

The Dodgers arrive in Arizona after another impressive stretch, winning 14 of their last 17 games and continuing to perform at an elite level offensively. Los Angeles ranks among the top run-producing teams in baseball, averaging more than 5 runs per game and carrying a .263 team batting average into the series.

Arizona has quietly become one of the hottest clubs in the National League as well. Before dropping a close game in Seattle on Sunday, the Diamondbacks had won 10 of their previous 11 contests. Chase Field has been a major advantage, with Arizona posting an 18-10 home record entering Monday’s game.

The season series also favors Los Angeles. The Dodgers swept Arizona during the opening series of the season and will look to continue that success against a division rival that has climbed back into postseason contention.

Pitching Matchup

Emmet Sheehan takes the ball for Los Angeles with a 3-1 record and a 4.70 ERA. While the ERA is higher than Dodgers fans would prefer, Sheehan has shown quality stuff with 59 strikeouts in 51.2 innings. The Dodgers have gone 7-3 in his starts this season, demonstrating their ability to support him with offense.

Arizona counters with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has been outstanding. The veteran left-hander enters at 5-1 with a 2.31 ERA and has consistently kept opponents off the scoreboard. Rodriguez has been one of the key reasons Arizona has climbed back into the NL playoff race.

On paper, Rodriguez owns the pitching edge. However, the Dodgers have consistently overcome strong opposing starters thanks to the depth of their lineup and one of the league’s most productive offenses.

Key Players

  • Mookie Betts remains a catalyst at the top of the Dodgers lineup and continues to be a threat to reach base multiple times every game.
  • Shohei Ohtani gives Los Angeles elite power and run-producing ability in the middle of the order.
  • Max Muncy enters the series after homering during Sunday’s victory over Philadelphia.
  • Corbin Carroll remains Arizona’s most explosive offensive weapon and can change a game with both power and speed.
  • Ketel Marte continues to provide consistency at the plate and is one of Arizona’s most reliable run producers.

Betting Trends & H2H

  • The Dodgers are 3-0 against the Diamondbacks so far this season.
  • The under is 34-25 in Dodgers games so far this season.
  • The over is 28-27-3 in games involving the Diamondbacks in 2026.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Los Angeles Dodgers 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 4
  • Win Probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 58%, Arizona Diamondbacks 42%

Rodriguez has clearly been the better pitcher statistically, and Arizona’s home-field performance deserves respect. However, the Dodgers continue to find ways to win regardless of venue or pitching matchup. Their lineup depth creates scoring opportunities throughout the game, and they rarely rely on one or two hitters to carry the offense.

Los Angeles has consistently beaten quality opponents during its recent run and comes into Phoenix after an emphatic victory over Philadelphia. Expect a tight contest through the middle innings before the Dodgers’ offense creates enough separation against Arizona’s bullpen. My best bet for this game is to take the Dodgers on the moneyline as a road favorite.

More Baseball Betting Resources

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles Dodgers
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