The Baltimore Orioles will visit Yankee Stadium on Friday to take on the New York Yankees. New York enters at 91–68 and is locked in a tight race at the top of the AL East. Baltimore is 75–84 and has less to play for heading into their final series of the 2025 season. Before these division rivals do battle in the Bronx, you can continue reading to get my Orioles vs Yankees prediction for tonight.
Our Orioles vs Yankees Pick
- Pick: Yankees moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees
- Date & Time: Friday, September 26, 7:05 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers (Orioles) vs Will Warren (Yankees)
- Stadium: Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Baltimore will start this game with Trevor Rogers on the mound. Rogers enters this start at 9–2 with a 1.35 ERA. He has been dominant this season and his overall form suggests he can keep the Orioles in this game throughout. Will Warren will get the start for the Yankees tonight. He has been more volatile toan Rogers. Warren is 8–8 with a 4.35 ERA and has 164 strikeouts. The question in this game will be whether Rogers can help Baltimore offset the advantages the Yankees have offensively.
Recent team streaks
The Yankees are surging, winning 22 of their last 30 games. They are on a five-game winning streak and enter the final weekend of the season tied with the Toronto Blue Jays atop the AL East standings. The Orioles won two of their three games against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series and they will try to play spoiler for the Yankees’ division title hopes here.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Gunnar Henderson | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Trevor Rogers | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
| Will Warren | Strikeouts | Over 5.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Yankees lead their season series with the Orioles 6-4 heading into the weekend.
- New York took three out of the four games played between these teams in their series last week.
- The Yankees are 47-31 at home so far this season.
- The Orioles are 36-42 on the road in 2025.
Orioles vs Yankees Model Projection
Score Projection: Orioles 3 – Yankees 5
Win Probability: Orioles 35%, Yankees 65%
Final Thoughts
The Orioles have the starting pitching advantage going into this game. But that is about all they have working in their favor. The Yankees have the better offense and bullpen and that should help New York to get another key victory at home. Expect the Yankees to get a win tonight and for them to keep the pressure on the Blue Jays over the final few days of the 2025 regular season.
