The Texas Longhorns and Georgia Bulldogs will meet on Saturday night in a huge SEC football matchup. Both teams are ranked in the top 10 in the country going into this weekend’s action and a win would all but sew up a playoff spot for whichever team can get it. Here, I have broken this game down from all angles and you can find my Texas vs Georgia prediction below.
Our Texas vs Georgia Pick
Pick: Under 49.5
Confidence: 4/5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Texas Longhorns vs Georgia Bulldogs
- Date & Time: Saturday, November 15, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
- Venue: Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
- Broadcast: ABC
Key Storylines
The stakes in this game are huge on both sides. Georgia defeated Texas twice last year, including a close overtime win in the SEC title game. Texas will be looking for revenge. More importantly, a Texas loss here would make it very difficult for them to reach the College Football Playoff as a three-loss team. Both of these squads have one loss in conference play this year and are still in the mix to reach the SEC title game as well.
Texas enters on a four‑game win streak, yet their November run has to end with a triumph in Athens to preserve their playoff hopes. Georgia is trending upward and playing at home, where they’ve been dominant for years. Georgia’s defense will try to make life miserable for Arch Manning and a Texas offense that we have seen struggle against elite programs like Ohio State earlier in the season.
Quarterback Play
Texas’ sophomore signal‑caller Arch Manning is showing improvement as this year progresses. He has passed for 2,123 yards, 18 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions so far this year. He got off to a very slow start to the year and has been better in recent weeks. But this will be one of the biggest tests he faces all year.
Georgia quarterback Gunner Stockton has 2,040 passing yards, 15 touchdowns, and just 2 interceptions this year. He also has 321 rushing yards and 7 rushing touchdowns. He faces an elite defense here as well and will need to avoid making costly mistakes to keep his team in the top five in the rankings for at least another week.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Texas is 2-6-1 against the spread this season.
- Georgia is 4-5 against the spread going into this weekend’s action.
- The under has cashed 5 times in 9 games for Texas.
- The over is 5-4 in Georgia’s games this year.
- Head‑to‑head: Georgia beat Texas twice in 2024, including a 22‑19 overtime win in the SEC title and a 30‑15 win in Austin.
Texas vs Georgia Model Projection
Score Projection: Texas 20 – Georgia 24
Win Probability: Texas 28%, Georgia 72%
Final Thoughts
This could end up being the best game of the week in college football from a competitive standpoint. But I also think we could be in for an ugly game where the defenses are dominant throughout. My best bet for this game is the under, as both of these defenses should make life miserable for the quarterbacks on each side.
