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college football week 9 picks and predictions

Texas A&M vs LSU Pick & Prediction – 10/25/2025

Updated October 25, 2025 • 3 min read

The Texas A&M Aggies (7-0, 4-0 SEC) are set to face the LSU Tigers (5-2, 2-2 SEC) on Saturday night at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge. Texas A&M comes into this game with an unbeaten record and they are ranked third in the country. They will put that ranking to the test in one of the toughest places to play in all of college football. Before kickoff in this huge SEC matchup, continue reading to get my Texas A&M vs LSU prediction.

Our Texas A&M vs LSU Pick

  • Pick: Over 49.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Texas A&M Aggies vs LSU Tigers
  • Date & Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
  • Broadcast: ABC

Key Storylines

  • Undefeated Aggies Seek Road Win: Texas A&M enters this game undefeated, aiming to secure their first victory in Baton Rouge since 1994. Despite their strong season, they have yet to win at LSU’s Tiger Stadium since joining the SEC in 2012. A win here would make their College Football Playoff candidacy very difficult to deny.
  • LSU’s Offensive Struggles: The Tigers have faced challenges on offense, ranking No. 15 in the SEC in rushing with 112.9 yards per game. Injuries to key players, such as left tackle Tyree Adams, have further complicated their offensive issues. But Texas A&M has been far from impenetrable on defense and LSU will try to take advantage of that.
  • Quarterback Play: Texas A&M’s sophomore quarterback, Marcel Reed, has been a standout this season. He has thrown for 1,770 yards and 15 touchdowns with just four interceptions. LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier has also played well, with 1,638 passing yards and 11 touchdowns.

Betting Trends & H2H

  • ATS Trends: LSU is 3-4 against the spread this season. Texas A&M is also 3-4 ATS going into this huge game in the SEC.
  • Recent Matchups: The home team has won each of the last eight meetings between these teams. LSU leads the all-time series 32-24-3.
  • Over/Under Trends: LSU games have gone under the total five times in seven games. A&M has gone over the total five times in seven games.

Texas A&M vs LSU Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Texas A&M 35, LSU 31
  • Win Probability: Texas A&M 58%, LSU 42%

Final Thoughts

Instead of taking a side in this contest, I am going to take the over at 49.5 points. Texas A&M has played some shootouts against teams like Notre Dame and Arkansas on the road this season. I think we are in for another of those high-scoring games, as both Reed and Nussmeier should move the ball effectively through the air for their respective teams.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: LSU Tigers, Texas A&M Aggies
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