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navy vs notre dame prediction and preview

Navy vs Notre Dame Pick & Prediction – 11/8/2025

Updated November 7, 2025 • 3 min read

Notre Dame will host Navy in a game with College Football Playoff implications for both sides. Notre Dame is ranked 10th in the country and in need of a win to keep its playoff hopes alive. But Navy is still in the playoff mix going into this week as well and a win would certainly move them into the top 25. Before Notre Dame does battle with the Naval Academy, you can find my Navy vs Notre Dame prediction below.

Our Navy vs Notre Dame Pick

  • Pick: Notre Dame -27.5
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish
  • Date & Time: Saturday, November 8, 2025, 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, Indiana
  • Broadcast: NBC

Key Storylines

Notre Dame is expected to dominate if the point spread is to be believed. The Fighting Irish have won six games in a row after dropping their first two games to Miami and Texas A&M. All six of those wins have come by double-digits and we should see Notre Dame continue their winning ways here. The only question might be how much the Irish win this game by.

Navy does not leave much to the imagination when it comes to their game plan. The entire world knows that the Midshipmen plan on running their option offense and running the football as often as they possibly can. The question for Navy will be whether or not they can do enough to win the line of scrimmage consistently to make that plan of attack successful.

Navy comes into this game at 7-1 on the season and their only loss came on the road against a North Texas team with a prolific offense. But this is the toughest game of the season so far for the Midshipmen in terms of the pure physical talent they are facing. I twill be interesting to see how they handle this level of competition on Saturday night.

Quarterback Play

Notre Dame’s quarterback is CJ Carr. He has thrown for 2,057 yards, 16 touchdowns, and four interceptions on the year. The Fighting Irish may not have to throw the ball much in this game given that their running blockers should be able to impose their will up front. But Carr should be fine if he needs to make any plays in big situations.

Blake Horvath is the quarterback for Navy. He has accounted for 1,143 passing yards and 926 rushing yards this season. He has 13 rushing touchdowns and seven passing touchdowns on the year. But he hasn’t seen a defense like that of Notre Dame yet this season.

Betting Trends

  • Notre Dame is 3-5 against the spread so far this season.
  • Navy is 2-6 against the spread on the year.
  • Six of Navy’s eight games this season have gone over their totals.
  • Notre Dame is 4-4 on their over/unders entering Saturday’s game.

Navy vs Notre Dame Model Projection

Score Projection: Notre Dame 41 – Navy 10
Win Probability: Notre Dame 90%, Navy 10%

Final Thoughts

The big problem for Navy in this game is the fact that they are at a physical disadvantage up front. In order for their offense to work, they need to be able to move the bodies on the opposing defensive line. I don’t think they are going to be able to do that against Notre Dame. I’m laying the points with the Fighting Irish in this game, as Notre Dame should keep their playoff hopes alive for another week.


Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: navy midshipmen, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
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