The SEC Tournament continues Thursday night with a second-round game between Ole Miss and Georgia. Ole Miss enters this game off a win against Texas on Wednesday night, while this is Georgia’s first game of the tournament after a first-round bye. Here, I break down Ole Miss vs Georgia and you will find my prediction for this SEC Tournament matchup below.
Our Ole Miss vs Georgia Pick
Pick:
Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs
- Date & Time: Thursday, March 12, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
- Broadcast: SEC Network
Key Storylines
Georgia enters this tournament game as one of the most explosive offensive teams in college basketball. The Bulldogs have spent much of the season near the top nationally in scoring and frequently play at one of the fastest tempos in Division I. Their depth and pace create problems for opponents who struggle to keep up with the constant pressure.
Ole Miss, on the other hand, has leaned more on defensive stability. The Rebels have not produced the same offensive fireworks as Georgia, but they have remained competitive by limiting opponents and executing late in games. That approach worked earlier this season when they defeated Georgia in overtime.
The key question entering Thursday’s contest is whether Ole Miss can slow the pace again. If Georgia turns the game into an up-and-down contest, their offensive depth becomes a major advantage. With Ole Miss playing for the second night in a row, it could be even harder for their defense to find traction here.
Key Players
Georgia Bulldogs
- Jeremiah Wilkinson – The Bulldogs’ leading scorer at about 17 points per game. The guard has delivered several big scoring nights this season and is the primary offensive engine for Georgia.
- Blue Cain – A versatile scoring guard averaging roughly 14 points per game while contributing across the stat sheet. Cain’s ability to create offense off the dribble makes him an important piece in Georgia’s fast-paced attack.
- Somto Cyril – One of the most efficient interior players in the conference. Cyril averages around 6 rebounds per game and shoots an elite percentage from the field while also blocking nearly 3 shots per contest.
Ole Miss Rebels
- AJ Storr – The Rebels’ top scorer at about 15 points per game, Storr will try to take advantage of the suspect defense of Georgia here.
- Malik Dia – Dia is leading the team with just under 6 rebounds per game. Georgia is dangerous on offense and giving them second chances could be fatal to the Rebels’ hopes in this matchup.
- Ilias Kamardine – A key backcourt contributor who provides scoring and playmaking for the Rebels. His ability to hit perimeter shots helps stretch defenses.
Stat Comparison
| Stat | Ole Miss | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 75.3 | 90.4 |
| Points allowed per game | 75.6 | 79.3 |
| Team Field Goal % | 44% | 47% |
| Rebounds Per Game | 34.1 | 38.1 |
| Assists Per Game | 13.9 | 15.0 |
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Past meetings this season: Ole Miss defeated Georgia 97–95 in overtime.
- Georgia is 15-15-1 against the spread this season.
- Ole Miss is 12-20 against the spread entering this SEC Tournament matchup.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Model Projection
Score Projection:
Win Probability:
Final Thoughts
This game could look similar to the teams’ earlier meeting, which turned into a dramatic shootout. Georgia’s offensive production throughout the season makes them difficult to contain for a full 40 minutes, but their defense is so suspect that Ole Miss could hang around throughout this matchup. Instead of taking a side here, I’ll go with the over in what should be a fun game to watch from Nashville.
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