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oklahoma vs texas a&m prediction and preview

Oklahoma Sooners vs Texas A&M Aggies Prediction For the SEC Tournament 2nd Round

Updated March 12, 2026 • 3 min read

Conference tournament play continues on Thursday, and the meeting between Oklahoma and Texas A&M on March 12 is an important one for both teams. Oklahoma enters the matchup after a strong opening round win that kept its postseason hopes alive, extending the Sooners’ current winning streak and showing that the offense can produce under pressure. Texas A&M, meanwhile, arrives as the higher seed with a deep roster and one of the most productive offenses in the conference. We could see some offensive fireworks in this Oklahoma vs Texas A&M matchup and I’ve broken that game down for you right here.

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Oklahoma Sooners @ Texas A&M Aggies
  • Date & Time: Thursday, March 12, 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
  • Broadcast: SEC Network

Key Storylines

Oklahoma comes into this game with renewed energy after a comeback victory over South Carolina in the opening round of the tournament. The Sooners erased a large early deficit and finished with an 86-74 win behind strong guard play. That result marked their fifth straight victory, giving them confidence entering the second round.

Texas A&M secured the sixth seed after a solid regular season that included 21 wins. The Aggies have built their success on a fast-paced offense that spreads the scoring across the roster. Several players average double figures, making it difficult for opponents to focus defensive attention on one scorer.

The previous meetings between these teams this season also add intrigue. Texas A&M defeated Oklahoma in both of their matchups this season, showing an ability to control the interior and generate consistent scoring opportunities. Oklahoma will look to adjust in the rematch here, particularly on the glass.

Key Players

Texas A&M Aggies

  • Rashaun Agee leads the Aggies with about 14.7 points and 8.8 rebounds per game. His inside scoring and rebounding presence are critical to Texas A&M’s success.
  • Rylan Griffen adds perimeter scoring and recently delivered a career performance with 24 points in a key win late in the season.
  • Jacari Lane runs the offense and averages roughly 3.2 assists per game while helping push the tempo.

Oklahoma Sooners

  • Nijel Pack leads the Sooners with about 16.3 points per game and recently scored 24 points in their tournament opener, including five three-pointers.
  • Xzayvier Brown averages in double-digits and provides consistent scoring from the backcourt.

Stat Comparison

StatOklahomaTexas A&M
Points per game82.888.5
Points allowed per game77.479.5
Team Field Goal %47%46%
Rebounds Per Game35.437.9
Assists Per Game14.218.3

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • Texas A&M went 2-0 against Oklahoma in the regular-season this year.
  • Oklahoma enters this matchup with a 14-17-1 record against the spread this season.
  • Texas A&M is 18-13 against the spread coming into this contest.

Oklahoma vs Texas A&M Pick & Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Oklahoma 79 – Texas A&M 84 ATS PRO
  • Pick: Texas A&M -2.5 ATS PRO
  • Confidence: 3 out of 5 ATS PRO
  • Win Probability: Oklahoma 42%, Texas A&M 58% ATS PRO

Oklahoma arrives with confidence after winning five straight games and advancing in the conference tournament, but Texas A&M has advantages that are difficult to ignore. The Aggies score nearly 90 points per game, distribute the ball extremely well, and hold a clear edge in rebounding. That combination gives them multiple paths to victory. Expect the Sooners to struggle playing on a second straight night and for the Aggies to cover the spread in what should be an entertaining game in Nashville.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Oklahoma Sooners, Texas A&M Aggies
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