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louisiana tech vs kennesaw state prediction and preview

Kennesaw State Owls vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Prediction: Conference USA Championship Game

Updated March 13, 2026 • 4 min read

The Conference USA championship game features two programs that earned their way into the title game with strong semifinal victories. Kennesaw State enters the game with a 20-13 record after defeating Sam Houston 79-73 in the semifinals, while Louisiana Tech sits at 20-13 following a tight 69-66 win over Missouri State. The winner secures the conference’s automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament, making this Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech matchup the most important game of the season for both teams.

Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Kennesaw State @ Louisiana Tech
  • Date & Time: Saturday, March 14, 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Propst Arena, Huntsville, Alabama
  • Broadcast: CBS Sports Network

Key Storylines

Kennesaw State has shown the ability to score in bunches throughout the season. The Owls average more than 83 points per game and rank among the better rebounding teams in CUSA, grabbing over 40 rebounds per contest. Their style is aggressive and fast-paced, built around spacing the floor and generating three-point looks.

Louisiana Tech, by contrast, wins with defense and controlling the tempo. The Bulldogs allow fewer than 65 points per game, placing them among the top defensive units in the nation. They slow games down and emphasize efficient half-court possessions, which has helped them maintain a positive scoring margin despite a modest offensive output.

Another storyline is how each team reached the final. Kennesaw State knocked off higher-seeded Sam Houston in the semifinals after eliminating Western Kentucky earlier in the tournament. Louisiana Tech also beat a strong Missouri State squad to reach the championship game. Both teams have been battle-tested during the week, which adds another layer of intrigue heading into Saturday night.

Key Players

Louisiana Tech

  • DJ Dudley – The Bulldogs’ leading scorer averages 14.2 points per game and provides perimeter scoring. His outside shooting opens the floor for Louisiana Tech’s offense.
  • Kaden Cooper – A versatile forward who averages just under 10 points and 8 rebounds per game. His ability to control the glass is crucial in slowing Kennesaw State’s transition offense.
  • AJ Bates – The team’s primary playmaker with 10.9 points and 5.9 assists per game. Bates handles most of the ball distribution duties and keeps the offense organized.

Kennesaw State

  • RJ Johnson – The Owls’ top scorer and primary ball handler. Johnson averages 14.4 points and 3.9 assists per game while controlling tempo for the offense.
  • Frankquon Sherman – A major presence on the glass with 8.6 rebounds per game while contributing close to 10 points. His physical play inside helps Kennesaw State dominate rebounding.
  • Trey Simpson – One of the team’s most reliable shooters, averaging just over two made three-pointers per game. His perimeter scoring stretches opposing defenses.

Stat Comparison

StatKennesaw StateLouisiana Tech
Points per game83.970.2
Points allowed per game76.564.8
Team Field Goal %45%45%
Rebounds per game40.538.4
Assists per game14.512.7

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • These teams are 1-1 against each other this season, with each team winning at home.
  • Kennesaw State is 13-16-1 against the spread this season.
  • Louisiana Tech is 17-12-1 against the spread entering this championship game.

Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech Pick & Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Kennesaw State 76 – Louisiana Tech 72 ATS PRO
  • Pick: Kennesaw State -1.5 ATS PRO
  • Confidence: 3 out of 5 ATS PRO
  • Win Probability: Kennesaw State 56%, Louisiana Tech 44% ATS PRO

This championship game pits the most explosive offense in the conference against one of its most disciplined defenses. Louisiana Tech’s ability to slow tempo could make scoring difficult early, but Kennesaw State’s rebounding advantage and perimeter shooting provide a path to victory. I’m going to lay the 1.5 points with the Owls here, as they should claim the Conference USA automatic bid into March Madness.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Kennesaw State Owls, Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
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