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holy cross vs lehigh prediction and preview

Holy Cross Crusaders vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks Pick & Prediction – 3/5/2026

Updated March 5, 2026 • 3 min read

The stage is set for an intriguing Patriot League quarterfinal as the Holy Cross Crusaders travel to face the Lehigh Mountain Hawks on Thursday night. Both teams are coming off hard‑fought finishes to their regular seasons and enter this game with just three wins separating them from the NCAA Tournament. Lehigh earned its higher seed with a solid league record and key victories in February, while Holy Cross enters as a lower seed that recently picked up an upset in the first round of the tournament. Before these teams face off, you can find my Holy Cross vs Lehigh prediction below.

Our Lehigh vs Holy Cross Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Holy Cross Crusaders @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks
  • Date & Time: Thursday, March 5, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Stabler Arena, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania
  • Broadcast: ESPN+

Key Storylines

  • Lehigh secured the No. 2 seed in the Patriot League tournament with an 11‑7 league record and a strong performance down the stretch. Their balanced scoring and ability to get contributions from multiple players make them a tough out at home.
  • Holy Cross comes in as the No. 10 seed after a challenging regular season but stunned Lafayette in the tournament’s first round. The Crusaders will lean on their ability to shoot from deep and try to keep this one close.
  • Lehigh and Holy Cross split their regular-season series, with Holy Cross taking the most recent meeting 76‑67. However, the Mountain Hawks own a better overall resume and home court in postseason play.

Key Players

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

  • Nasir Whitlock: Lehigh’s offensive engine, averaging around 20.8 points per game and adding approximately 3.1 assists. Whitlock has shown he can take over games, including a 32‑point outburst in the season finale.
  • Hank Alvey: A versatile threat inside and out, Alvey has posted big scoring nights and contributes valuable rebounds and defensive stats.
  • Joshua Ingram: A do‑it‑all guard whose ability to impact across the stat sheet with rebounds, assists, and defensive plays adds balance to Lehigh’s lineup.

Holy Cross Crusaders

  • Gabe Warren: Leading scorer for Holy Cross with around 16.5 points over the last 10 games. Warren’s offense is vital for the Crusaders to keep pace.
  • Tyler Boston: Averaging roughly 13.8 points and 3.6 assists, Boston’s playmaking and scoring are central to Holy Cross’s offensive flow.
  • Aiden Disu: Another double‑figure scorer who contributes rebounds and inside presence, giving Holy Cross a physical edge.

Stat Comparison

StatisticHoly CrossLehigh
Points Per Game68.373.3
Points Allowed Per Game73.474.8
Team Field Goal %44%46%
Rebounds Per Game31.431.6
Assists Per Game11.014.5

Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends

  • Lehigh and Holy Cross split their regular-season series, with Holy Cross winning the most recent matchup 76‑67.
  • Lehigh is 16-12-1 against the spread entering postseason play.
  • Holy Cross is 14-15 against the spread going into Thursday’s action.

Lehigh vs Holy Cross Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Holy Cross Crusaders, Lehigh Mountain Hawks
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