The Green Bay Phoenix and St. Thomas Tommies will meet in a non-conference college basketball game on Thursday night. Green Bay is early into its second season under head coach/podcaster Doug Gottlieb and things aren’t off to a great start for them. St. Thomas is also off to a rough start and will try to bounce back at home in this contest. Before tip-off from St. Paul, you can find my Green Bay vs St. Thomas prediction below.
Our Green Bay vs St. Thomas Pick
- Pick: St. Thomas -13.5
- Confidence: ★★★☆☆
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Green Bay Phoenix @ St. Thomas Tommies
- Date & Time: Thursday, November 13, 2025, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Lee & Penny Anderson Arena, St. Paul, Minnesota
- Broadcast: Summit League Network
Key Storylines
- Green Bay’s rebuilding efforts: The Phoenix snapped a two-game losing streak on November 10, defeating Ripon 83-63. They got a strong performance by Marcus Hall (21 pts, 10 reb) to lead them to that win over a non-Division I opponent. He has started the year with at least 16 points in each game. But Green Bay is winless on the road and against Division I opponents so far this season and will try to change that here.
- St. Thomas backing up last season’s progress: The Tommies concluded the 2024-25 season at 24-10 and earned a No. 2 seed in the Summit League tournament. They are off to a 1-2 start to this season, losing on the road to Saint Mary’s and Washington State. Freshman guard Nick Janowski posted 22 points against Washington State, while Nolan Minessale added 20 and six assists in the same contest. The Tommies won their first home game at Lee & Penny Anderson Arena this season and will look for a win to get back to .500 here.
- Disparity in home-road context: Green Bay comes in as a big road underdog and has a troubling recent road record. The Phoenix are 0-10 straight up in their last 10 road games. They are not expected to end their road losing streak tonight.
Betting Trends
- Green Bay is 3-17 straight up in its last 20 games overall and 0-10 straight up in its last 10 away games.
- Green Bay is 0-2 against the spread so far this season.
- St. Thomas is 0-3 against the spread to open the year.
- The Phoenix are 1-1 on their over/unders through two games.
- The over has cashed in two of St. Thomas’ first three outings.
Green Bay vs St. Thomas Model Projection
Score Projection: Green Bay 68 – St. Thomas 83
Win Probability: Green Bay 28% | St. Thomas 72%
Final Thoughts
I can’t help but lay the points with the Tommies in this game on their home floor. Green Bay under Gottlieb has become a punchline in college basketball. Their road losing streak should continue here against a St. Thomas team that is better than its record appears early in the season after playing a couple of very good teams on the West Coast.
