The New York Liberty head west for a measuring-stick game against the Valkyries on Sunday night, with both clubs sitting at identical 12-7 records but trending in opposite directions. New York has dropped three of its last five games, including a 99-88 setback at Seattle, while Golden State has won six of its last eight and arrives on a two-game winning streak that includes back-to-back wins over the Atlanta Dream. Add in lingering injury concerns for the Liberty and a huge home-court advantage for the Valkyries, and Golden State enters as a slight favorite at home.
Our Liberty vs Valkyries Prediction
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries Moneyline
- Confidence: 4 out of 5
Liberty vs Valkyries Model Projection
- Score Projection: Golden State Valkyries 81, New York Liberty 76
- Win Probability: New York Liberty 46%, Golden State Valkyries 54%
Golden State has already taken the first meeting between these two clubs this season, winning 87-70 at Barclays Center, and the Valkyries enter Sunday playing their best ball of the year on the defensive end, allowing just 78.4 points per game, the stingiest mark in the WNBA. New York’s offense has been one of the league’s most explosive units, but the status of Satou Sabally takes some shine off that ceiling, and a Liberty group that has struggled defensively of late will need a clean game on the road to flip the script against a Golden State team that has won 8 of its last 10 at home.
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Liberty @ Golden State Valkyries
- Date & Time: Sunday, June 28, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
- Broadcast: ESPN
Liberty vs Valkyries Same Game Parlay
- Valkyries ML -115
- Under 163.5 -110
- Gabby Williams 17+ Points -108
Total Parlay Odds: +495
This three-leg same game parlay leans into Golden State’s home strength while still finding value on a Valkyries playmaker who has been steady all season. The first leg backs Golden State on the moneyline at -115, leaning on the Valkyries’ current run of form and their home-court advantage. The second leg takes the under 163.5 at -110, since New York’s offense is unlikely to operate at full strength with Sabally banged up. And the third leg backs Gabby Williams to have a big game, as her creation from the perimeter and in transition will be important against a Liberty team whose defensive strength is its ability to protect the paint.
Injury Report
- New York Liberty: Satou Sabally is out due to a concussion and is expected back on June 30.
- Golden State Valkyries: Iliana Rupert remains away from the team. Laeticia Amihere is a game-time decision with spasms.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Head-to-head this season: Golden State leads 1-0, with an 87-70 win in their first meeting of the season.
- Golden State is 8-2 at home over its last 10 games at Chase Center.
- New York is 6-3 on the road this season.
- Golden State has won the last 2 games in this series outright and against the spread.
- New York has lost 3 of its last 5 games overall.
- The under cashed in the first meeting between these two teams.
Stat Comparison
| Category | New York Liberty | Golden State Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive Rating | 110.1 | 107.9 |
| Defensive Rating | 104.0 | 102.3 |
| Net Rating | +6.1 | +5.7 |
| Pace | 96.19 | 92.21 |
| Effective FG% | 54.1% | 49.0% |
| Rebound % | 53.0% | 50.2% |
Golden State has a slight edge on the defensive end of the floor, while the Liberty are better in terms of offensive efficiency and rebounding. At home, I think that Golden State’s edge on defense will be just enough to get them over the finish line, in what should be a very telling game about both of these teams in the WNBA.
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