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los angeles sparks vs indiana fever prediction and preview

Los Angeles Sparks vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Preview – 6/27/2026

Updated June 27, 2026 • 3 min read

Saturday night at Gainbridge Fieldhouse was supposed to be billed around Caitlin Clark, but the Indiana Fever will host the Los Angeles Sparks without their franchise guard, who has been ruled out with a back injury that flared up during Thursday’s loss to Phoenix. The Sparks arrive in even rougher shape, missing both Kelsey Plum and Cameron Brink, which strips a banged-up roster of two starters and forces Los Angeles to lean on a thinner group on the road against a Fever team that still owns one of the better home records in the league this season.

Our Sparks vs Fever Prediction

  • Pick: Indiana Fever -6.5
  • Confidence: 3 out of 5

Sparks vs Fever Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Los Angeles Sparks 75, Indiana Fever 88
  • Win Probability: Los Angeles Sparks 28%, Indiana Fever 72%

Even without Clark running the show, Indiana has built a deep enough roster around Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston to handle a Sparks team that just lost its leading scorer for a month and is already without a starting forward. Mitchell is averaging 21.4 points per game and has scored at least 21 in three of her last four outings, while Boston continues to control the glass and the paint at both ends. Los Angeles still has Nneka Ogwumike doing steady work on the boards and Rae Burrell providing scoring off the bench, but asking that group to keep pace with a healthier Fever team is a tall order.

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Sparks @ Indiana Fever
  • Date & Time: Saturday, June 27, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Indiana
  • Broadcast: CBS, Paramount+

Sparks vs Fever Same Game Parlay

  • Indiana Fever -6.5 at -112
  • Under 179.5 total points at -110
  • Kelsey Mitchell Over 24.5 points at +111

Combined odds for the three-leg parlay come out to +500 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Mitchell has absorbed a heavier share of Indiana’s offense in each of her last 11 outings as Clark’s back issue has lingered, and with two important players in the Sparks lineup ruled out, neither team projects to push the pace the way they have in recent games, supporting the lean toward the under alongside the Fever to cover.

Sparks vs Fever Prop Bet

Nneka Ogwumike Over 8.5 rebounds at +114 on DraftKings Sportsbook stands out as the play here. With Brink already out and Plum now gone for an extended stretch, Ogwumike becomes the lone established frontcourt option Los Angeles can trust for extended minutes, and she has cleared this mark in four of her last six games. This gives a veteran like Ogwumike every opportunity to stay busy on the offensive boards in a game where her teammates will need her to do more with less scoring help around her.

Injury Report

Los Angeles Sparks

  • Kelsey Plum – Out – Lower left leg injury, expected to miss at least four weeks
  • Cameron Brink – Out – Left ankle sprain

Indiana Fever

  • Caitlin Clark – Out – Back injury sustained against Phoenix on June 24

Betting Trends & H2H

  • Season series: Indiana leads 1-0, winning the first meeting 87-78 on May 13.
  • Indiana is 7-4 at home this season.
  • Los Angeles is 5-3 on the road so far this year.
  • The Fever are 8-10 against the spread in 2026.
  • The Sparks enter this game with a 6-10 record against the spread.

Stat Comparison

CategoryLos Angeles SparksIndiana Fever
Offensive Rating108.2110.4
Defensive Rating113.6106.7
Net Rating-5.4+3.7
Pace97.8299.85
Effective FG %52.1%53.9%
Rebound %48.1%53.9%

More WNBA Betting Resources

  • WNBA Betting Picks
  • WNBA Best Bets Today
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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: indiana fever, Los Angeles Sparks
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