Las Vegas and Dallas meet Monday night in an important matchup on the WNBA schedule. The Aces enter the contest at 10-3 and have won six straight games since suffering a surprising 95-87 loss to the Wings on May 28. Dallas sits at 8-5 and remains one of the league’s most improved teams behind the backcourt combination of Paige Bueckers and Arike Ogunbowale. We are getting a rematch between teams that already produced a high-scoring game earlier this season, and the availability of Bueckers after her recent ankle injury will be one of the biggest factors influencing the outcome.
Our Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings Prediction
- Pick: Las Vegas Aces -2.5
- Confidence: 4 out of 5
Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings Model Projection
- Score Projection: Las Vegas Aces 92 – Dallas Wings 88
- Win Probability: Las Vegas Aces 61%, Dallas Wings 39%
The previous meeting between these teams ended with Dallas earning a convincing 95-87 victory, but the situation entering this rematch is much different. Las Vegas has responded with six consecutive wins and has looked like the championship contender many expected entering the season. A’ja Wilson continues to perform at an MVP level, averaging 26.2 points per game while anchoring both ends of the floor.
Dallas has been impressive, especially at home, but the Wings are coming off a difficult one-point loss to Portland and have been dealing with injury concerns surrounding Bueckers. Even if she returns, Las Vegas appears to have the fresher roster and arrives in stronger form. The Wings have enough scoring to stay competitive, though the Aces have the superior frontcourt and should control the paint behind Wilson. With Las Vegas laying only a small number, the value remains on the road favorite.
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: Las Vegas Aces @ Dallas Wings
- Date & Time: Monday, June 15, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: College Park Center, Arlington, Texas
- Broadcast: USA Network
Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings Same Game Parlay
- Leg 1: Las Vegas Aces Moneyline -142
- Leg 2: A’ja Wilson Over 24.5 Points -124
- Leg 3: Over 177.5 Points -115
Parlay Odds: +325
The first leg of this parlay backs the hotter team. Las Vegas has won six consecutive games and owns the better overall record entering this contest. The Aces have responded well since their earlier loss to Dallas and appear focused on avoiding a season sweep.
Wilson has been nearly impossible to slow down during Las Vegas’ winning streak. Her scoring volume remains elite, and Dallas lacks a consistent answer for her combination of size, skill, and efficiency. A line of 24.5 points is demanding, but she has regularly cleared that number this season.
The total rounds out the parlay. The first meeting produced 182 points, and both teams rank among the better offensive groups in the league. Dallas averages around 88 points per game, while Las Vegas is producing more than 92 points per contest. With multiple elite shot creators on the floor, another game in the high 170s or low 180s is realistic.
Las Vegas Aces vs Dallas Wings Prop Bet
Jackie Young Over 4.5 Rebounds -118
Young contributes across every statistical category and has become one of the league’s most complete guards. Dallas plays at a relatively quick tempo, creating additional rebounding opportunities for perimeter players. Young’s ability to crash the glass from the guard position makes the over attractive at this number.
Injury Report
- Las Vegas Aces: Dana Evans is listed as out with a lower-body issue.
- Las Vegas Aces: Chennedy Carter is listed as out due to an illness.
- Dallas Wings: Paige Bueckers has been managing a right ankle injury and entered the game with a day-to-day designation.
- Dallas Wings: Odyssey Sims remains a notable injury concern. She is out with an ankle injury.
Betting Trends & H2H
- Dallas leads the season series 1-0 after a 95-87 victory on May 28.
- The Aces are 6-7 against the spread this season.
- Dallas enters the game with an 8-5 record against the spread in 2026.
- Las Vegas has won six consecutive games.
- The Aces are 8-5 to the over so far this season.
- The under is 8-5 in games involving the Wings this year.
Stat Comparison
| Category | Las Vegas Aces | Dallas Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Offensive Rating | 113.4 | 109.6 |
| Defensive Rating | 107.0 | 104.2 |
| Net Rating | 6.3 | 5.4 |
| Pace | 97.29 | 95.91 |
| Effective FG % | 55.1% | 51.0% |
| Rebound % | 52.8% | 51.2% |
Dallas deserves respect after already beating Las Vegas once this season, but the timing of this rematch favors the visitors. The Aces have been the hottest team in the league over the last two weeks, Wilson is dominating opposing frontcourts, and Las Vegas owns advantages in offensive efficiency and overall experience. The Wings have enough offensive talent to remain competitive, especially if Bueckers is available, but the Aces appear better positioned to close out a tight game.
Expect another entertaining contest featuring plenty of scoring opportunities. Dallas should keep things close for much of the evening, though Las Vegas’ star power and current form give the Aces the edge. The projection calls for a four-point victory, making Las Vegas -2.5 my preferred wager.
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