Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets Prediction: Reds Aim to Complete Sweep In Queens

The Cincinnati Reds head into Wednesday night looking to finish off a strong road series against the New York Mets at Citi Field. Cincinnati has won 4 of its last 5 games and continues to climb in the National League standings, while New York enters this matchup on a 5-game losing streak with major concerns all over the field. Cincinnati will look to complete a three-game sweep here, and you will find my Reds vs Mets prediction for this series finale below.

Our Reds vs Mets Pick

• Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline
• Confidence: 4 out of 5

Game Snapshot

• Matchup: Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets
• Date & Time: Wednesday, May 27, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
• Starting Pitchers: Andrew Abbott vs Huascar Brazoban
• Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
• Broadcast: MLB.TV

Key Storylines

• The Mets have lost 5 straight games entering Wednesday night and they are at the bottom of the NL East standings.
• New York has scored 2 runs or fewer in 6 consecutive games.
• Cincinnati is 29-25 and remains in the National League Wild Card race after winning three straight games.
• The Reds have won the first two games of this series by identical 7-2 scores.
• Juan Soto returned to the lineup Tuesday and homered in the loss.
• The Mets are dealing with injuries to Francisco Lindor, Kodai Senga, Francisco Alvarez, and several pitchers at this time.

Pitching Matchup

• Andrew Abbott enters with a 4-2 record and 3.97 ERA across 56.2 innings. He will get the start for Cincinnati.
• Huascar Brazoban owns a sharp 1.73 ERA and 0.92 WHIP this season for the Mets and is 3-1 on the season thus far.
• Brazoban has allowed only 1 home run in 26 innings.
• The Mets bullpen has been heavily used during their current losing streak.
• Cincinnati has shown better bullpen depth over the last week.

Key Players

• Elly De La Cruz is batting .284 with 12 home runs and 37 RBI
• Eugenio Suarez collected 2 hits and 2 RBI in Tuesday’s win.
• Juan Soto hit a 2-run homer Tuesday after returning from illness.

Betting Trends & H2H

• Cincinnati is 2-0 against the Mets so far this season.
• The Reds are outscoring the Mets 14-4 in this series so far.
• Cincinnati is 15-13 on the road this year.
• The Mets are 11-15 in their home games so far this season.

Reds vs Mets Model Projection

• Score Projection: Cincinnati Reds 5 – New York Mets 3
• Win Probability: Cincinnati Reds 58%, New York Mets 42%

Cincinnati enters this matchup in far better form, and the difference at the plate has been noticeable throughout the series. The Reds are producing more hard contact, getting runners on base consistently, and taking advantage of scoring chances. De La Cruz remains the centerpiece of the offense, but the supporting bats around him have also contributed during this stretch. I expect those trends to continue and for the Reds to complete a sweep of the Mets at Citi Field in this contest.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

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