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los angeles dodgers vs milwaukee brewers prediction and preview

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction: Brewers Search For Fifth Straight Win

Updated May 23, 2026 • 4 min read

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Milwaukee Brewers continue their weekend series on Saturday night at American Family Field after Milwaukee grabbed a 5-1 win in the opener. The Brewers have quietly become one of the hottest clubs in baseball, winning 12 of their last 14 games entering Saturday. Los Angeles still owns one of the best records in the National League, though the club has dealt with injuries across the pitching staff and now has concerns surrounding Max Muncy after he exited Friday’s game following a hit by pitch on the wrist. Before first pitch from Wisconsin, continue reading for my Dodgers vs Brewers prediction.

Our Dodgers vs Brewers Pick

  • Pick: Brewers Moneyline
  • Confidence: 3.5 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers
  • Date & Time: Saturday, May 23, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Roki Sasaki vs Robert Gasser
  • Stadium: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
  • Broadcast: FOX

Key Storylines

  • Milwaukee has won 12 of its last 14 games entering Saturday.
  • The Brewers defeated the Dodgers 5-1 in Friday’s opener.
  • Max Muncy may miss time after suffering a wrist injury Friday night.
  • Both of these teams are in first place in their respective divisions entering Saturday night. As a result, games between them will feel extra important, as both teams look to make a statement in what could be a potential playoff matchup down the line.

Pitching Matchup

Roki Sasaki enters this start with a 2-3 record and a 5.09 ERA through 40.2 innings. The electric right-hander still owns swing-and-miss stuff, recording 39 strikeouts already this season, but command issues have created trouble at times. Sasaki has allowed 9 home runs and carries a 1.45 WHIP entering this outing. Milwaukee’s lineup has handled velocity well during this recent stretch, which puts pressure on Sasaki to avoid early mistakes.

Robert Gasser has made only limited appearances this season after returning to the Milwaukee rotation. His current 4.50 ERA comes in a small sample, though the Brewers trust his ability to keep hitters off balance with soft contact and changing speeds. Milwaukee’s bullpen has been one of the club’s biggest strengths recently, which lowers the burden on Gasser to work deep into the game.

Key Players

  • Shohei Ohtani: Continues to anchor the Dodgers offense with elite power and run production.
  • Freddie Freeman: One of the most reliable hitters in baseball against left-handed pitching.
  • Mookie Betts: Gives Los Angeles another dangerous top-of-the-order bat.
  • William Contreras: Hit a 3-run homer Friday and is batting above .300 this season.
  • Jackson Chourio: Provides speed and extra-base ability near the top of the Milwaukee lineup.
  • Brice Turang: Continues to contribute with contact hitting and aggressive baserunning.

Betting Trends & H2H

  • Milwaukee is 1-0 against the Dodgers in their season series so far this year.
  • The first game of this series stayed under the total with 6 total runs scored.
  • LA is 16-10 on the road so far this season.
  • Milwaukee is 16-9 at home during the 2026 season.

Dodgers vs Brewers Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Brewers 5 – Dodgers 4
  • Win Probability: Brewers 54%, Dodgers 46%

The Dodgers still have the more dangerous lineup overall, but Milwaukee enters Saturday playing cleaner baseball and getting stronger production from the bullpen. Friday’s opener also highlighted how quickly the Brewers can create offense early in games.

Sasaki carries huge upside, though his elevated ERA and home run issues remain difficult to ignore against a Brewers lineup currently swinging the bat with confidence. Milwaukee also has the edge in bullpen form entering this matchup, which matters greatly in a game expected to stay competitive into the late innings. Because of that, I’ll take Milwaukee as a home dog to get it done on Saturday night.

More Baseball Betting Resources

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
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