Game 4 between the New York Knicks and Atlanta Hawks is set for Saturday, with the series tilted in Atlanta’s favor and the pressure squarely on New York. After dropping back-to-back one-possession games, including a 109-108 loss in Game 3, the Knicks now face a road contest that could put them in a 3-1 deficit. Atlanta has seized control with its late-game execution, while New York has plenty to figure out in this contest. Before the action begins, continue reading to get my Knicks vs Hawks Game 4 prediction in the betting markets.
Knicks vs Hawks Game 4 Pick
- Pick: Hawks ML
- Confidence: 3 out of 5
Game Snapshot
- Matchup: New York Knicks @ Atlanta Hawks
- Date & Time: Saturday, April 25, 6:00 PM ET
- Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
- Broadcast: NBC, Peacock
Key Storylines
The Atlanta Hawks enter Game 4 with a 2-1 series lead after winning two straight games by razor-thin margins. Both contests were decided in the final seconds, highlighting the Hawks’ composure late in games. New York, on the other hand, has struggled to close games out despite strong stretches of play. Their Game 3 loss was especially concerning after falling behind early and relying on a late rally, which they squandered by being unable to get a stop in the final seconds.
Another storyline centers on the Knicks’ offensive structure. The heavy reliance on Jalen Brunson has become increasingly apparent, particularly against Atlanta’s aggressive perimeter defense. Fatigue and limited secondary playmaking options have slowed New York’s efficiency in crunch time. Meanwhile, Atlanta continues to benefit from balanced scoring and improved shot-making, including strong perimeter shooting that has kept their offense steady.
Key Players
Atlanta Hawks
- Jalen Johnson leads the team with 22.5 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 7.9 assists per game, making him a versatile centerpiece who contributes across all areas. He led the Hawks with 23 points in the Game 3 win.
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker is averaging 20.8 points per game while shooting efficiently from the field and beyond the arc, giving Atlanta a reliable scoring option. He was recently named the NBA’s Most Improved Player and will try to continue living up to that billing here.
- CJ McCollum has been the Hawks’ go-to player in late-game situations this postseason. He tore the Knicks up down the stretch in Game 3, hitting the game-winning shot in the final minute.
New York Knicks
- Jalen Brunson drives the offense for the New York Knicks with 26.0 points and 6.8 assists per game, but his workload has increased significantly in this series.
- Karl-Anthony Towns adds 20.1 points and 11.9 rebounds per game, providing scoring and rebounding. Towns had 17 boards for the Knicks in Game 3 and will continue to be a key player on the glass.
- Mikal Bridges was held scoreless in Game 3 and only shot the ball a couple of times. He needs to be more effective than that if the Knicks want to avoid a 3-1 deficit in this series.
Head-to-Head & Betting Trends
- Atlanta leads the current playoff series 2-1, winning Games 2 and 3 by a combined 2 points.
- These teams are 3-3 against each other this season.
- The Knicks are 45-41 against the spread this season.
- Atlanta enters this game with a 46-39 record against the spread.
Knicks vs Hawks Game 3 Model Projection
- Score Projection: Knicks 105 – Hawks 108
- Win Probability: Knicks 47%, Hawks 53%
The data points to another close contest, but Atlanta holds subtle advantages that matter in playoff settings. Their ability to generate more balanced scoring, combined with efficient perimeter shooting, has helped them grind out tight games. The Knicks still have the higher ceiling offensively, yet their reliance on Brunson has created predictable possessions late in games. I’m taking the Hawks to win as a slight underdog at home and to head back to New York with a 3-1 series lead.
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