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NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Prediction and Preview

2026 NASCAR Pennzoil 400 Prediction: Who Will Get the Win In Las Vegas?

Updated March 14, 2026 • 3 min read

The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Las Vegas on Sunday, March 15, 2026, at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. After four races in the 2026 season, the series arrives at the high‑speed tri‑oval in Vegas with the Pennzoil 400. Ryan Blaney enters the weekend fresh off a victory at Phoenix, snapping Tyler Reddick’s early streak of wins this season, while establishing himself as a clear threat on 1.5‑mile tracks. Here, I break down the upcoming race and make my prediction as to who I think will end up in Victory Lane.

Pennzoil 400 Preview

The Pennzoil 400 marks the fifth points race of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season. Scheduled for 267 laps covering 400.5 miles on the Las Vegas Motor Speedway’s 1.5‑mile intermediate oval, Las Vegas has historically rewarded drivers who combine patience with aggressive tire management, and recent winners include a mix of veterans and rising stars who have mastered the track’s demands.

Early season form has seen Tyler Reddick emerge as the series’ points leader, but he was finally beaten last week and it will be interesting to see how he performs this time around. Meanwhile, Blaney’s win last weekend at Phoenix gives him confidence and momentum as he aims to extend his success into Las Vegas. Other top contenders like Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, and Christopher Bell have shown speed and consistency in 2026, and they will attempt to get their first wins of the season here.

Pennzoil 400 Track Info

Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a 1.5‑mile D‑shaped oval known for its high speeds and close‑quarters racing. With long straights and sweeping corners, the track places a premium on aerodynamic balance and tire conservation. Las Vegas often produces multi‑groove racing, and crew chiefs will be focused on strategy calls that can put drivers in position late in the race. The race distance of 400.5 miles has historically led to strategic pit stops and margin‑for‑error situations that reward smart calls and flawless execution late.

Betting Odds

  • Kyle Larson +500
  • Christopher Bell +600
  • William Byron +750
  • Denny Hamlin +850
  • Tyler Reddick +850
  • Ryan Blaney +850
  • Joey Logano +1100
  • Chase Briscoe +1200
  • Ross Chastain +1300
  • Chase Elliott +1800
  • Bubba Wallace +1900
  • Chris Buescher +2200
  • Carson Hocevar +2500
  • Brad Keselowski +2700
  • Ty Gibbs +3000
  • Kyle Busch +3000
  • Alex Bowman +3300
  • All Others +4000 or more

Pennzoil 400 Prediction

Pick: Kyle Larson to win at +500 ATS PRO

Confidence: 4 out of 5 ATS PRO

For bettors seeking value and performance consistency, this race aligns well with Larson’s strengths. Larson’s history at Las Vegas and his +500 odds make him my top pick, but don’t overlook Blaney in stage and top‑5 markets given his speed and confidence from Phoenix. Hamlin and Bell offer solid mid‑tier odds with upside in prop markets, especially if track position and strategy come into play late in the afternoon.

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
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