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oklahoma vs south carolina prediction and preview

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction: Sooners Hope to Play Later Into March

Updated March 11, 2026 • 3 min read

The stage is set for an intriguing SEC Tournament first-round contest as the South Carolina Gamecocks take on the Oklahoma Sooners on Wednesday, March 11. Both teams enter Bridgestone Arena in Nashville looking to extend their season with a tournament win, but the paths that brought them here could not be more different. South Carolina limps into this game with a sub-.500 record and a long list of losses in conference play, while Oklahoma has found a bit of late-season rhythm and enters this South Carolian vs Oklahoma matchup firmly on the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Our South Carolina vs Oklahoma Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 4 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: South Carolina Gamecocks @ Oklahoma Sooners
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, March 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
  • Broadcast: SEC Network

Key Storylines

  • South Carolina finished the regular season with a 13-18 overall record and struggled in SEC play at 4-14
  • Oklahoma enters at 17-14 overall and has gone 7-11 in conference games, but gained momentum late that has at least put them in the NCAA Tournament conversation.
  • These teams met earlier this season, with South Carolina winning 85-76.
  • South Carolina lost 10 of its final 12 regular-season games coming into the SEC Tournament.

Key Players

South Carolina Gamecocks

  • Meechie Johnson Jr. – Leading scorer for South Carolina at about 17.3 points per game along with 4.3 assists. The team relies heavily on his offense.
  • Kobe Knox – Averaging around 12 points in recent outings and is important for spacing and secondary offense.

Oklahoma Sooners

  • Nijel Pack – Star guard averaging roughly 16 points per game and shooting efficiently; can take over stretches.
  • Xzayvier Brown – Complementary scoring with about 11 points per game and is able to make strong offensive contributions.
  • Tae Davis – Posted solid numbers in a recent overtime win with 14 points and 9 rebounds, bringing intensity on both ends.

Stat Comparison

StatisticSouth CarolinaOklahoma
Points per Game75.082.7
Points Allowed per Game76.277.5
Team Field Goal %43%47%
Rebounds Per Game32.535.7
Assists Per Game13.314.0

Head-to-Head & Betting Trends

  • South Carolina won the only meeting between these teams earlier in this season, 85-76.
  • Oklahoma has been the stronger side in recent results, going 4-1 in its last five games.
  • South Carolina has not been consistent, winning only two of its last five outings.
  • South Carolina is 14-17 against the spread this season.
  • Oklahoma enters the postseason at 13-17-1 against the spread this year.

South Carolina vs Oklahoma Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Oklahoma Sooners, South Carolina Gamecocks
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