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Texas Longhorns at Ole Miss Rebels Pick For 1/29/2025

Ole Miss Rebels vs Texas Longhorns Prediction: Longhorns Look to Help NCAA Tournament Hopes

Updated March 10, 2026 • 3 min read

The Southeastern Conference tournament opens with a compelling first‑round game on Wednesday, when the Ole Miss Rebels face the Texas Longhorns. Both teams enter Bridgestone Arena in Nashville with different ambitions and recent form, with Texas looking to advance and help their NCAA Tournament hopes and Ole Miss hoping for an upset. The Longhorns are favored going into this Ole Miss vs Texas matchup and they will try to avoid a devastating loss for their postseason aspirations.

Our Ole Miss vs Texas Pick

Pick:

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Confidence: 3 out of 5

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: Ole Miss Rebels @ Texas Longhorns
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, March 11, 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Bridgestone Arena, Nashville, Tennessee
  • Broadcast: SEC Network

Key Storylines

  • Texas enters the SEC tournament as the 10 seed with an 18‑13 overall record and a 9‑9 conference mark. They have lost four of their last five games going into postseason play and will be desperate for a win here to help their chances of making the NCAA Tournament.
  • Ole Miss, with a 12‑19 record and 4‑14 in league play, is positioned as the 15 seed, aiming to spring an upset despite inconsistency throughout the year. The Rebels have also lost four of their last five games and will try to take advantage of facing another struggling opponent here.
  • The Longhorns have won the season series between these teams this year and have been favored in betting lines going into this important matchup.

Key Players

Texas Longhorns

  • Dailyn Swain – Leading scorer for Texas at 17.7 points per game, also contributing 7.5 rebounds and 3.4 assists, making him a central piece of the Longhorns’ offense.
  • Jordan Pope – Capable of explosive scoring nights, recently delivering 30 points in an overtime contest, valuable for Texas’ tournament push.
  • Tramon Mark – A scoring guard whose ability to provide double‑figure points adds balance to Texas’ frontline scoring options.

Ole Miss Rebels

  • AJ Storr – Top offensive option for Ole Miss at 15.0 points per game, important in keeping the Rebels competitive through scoring consistency.
  • Malik Dia – Leading the Rebels in rebounds with 5.8 per game, a key contributor on the glass and secondary scoring threat.
  • Ilias Kamardine – Bringing ball distribution and minutes with 3.8 assists per game, he helps handle playmaking duties.

Stat Comparison

StatisticOle MissTexas
Points per game75.384.4
Points allowed per game75.976.8
Field Goal %44%49%
Rebounds Per Game34.137.7
Assists Per Game13.912.3

Head‑to‑Head & Betting Trends

  • Texas won the only recent meeting between these two teams earlier in the season convincingly, showcasing offensive balance and interior presence.
  • Ole Miss is 11-20 against the spread so far this season.
  • Texas enters the SEC tournament with a 16-14 record against the spread.

Ole Miss vs Texas Model Projection

Score Projection:

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Win Probability:

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Final Thoughts

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Jay Sanin

Jay Sanin is the GM and Head of Sports at ATS.io. He has been writing about sports gambling since 2013, handicapping tens of thousands of sporting events. He plays sides and totals aggressively across most sports and is more selective in player prop markets. He does his own modeling across most sports, and his family is jealous of how much time he spends on his precious spreadsheets.

Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io uses affiliate links. If you sign up through a link on this page, we may earn a commission at no additional cost to you. Rankings are based on hands-on testing and published criteria, and affiliate relationships do not determine placement.
Tags: Ole Miss Rebels, Texas Longhorns
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